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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-14 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,229.04 (+30.9%) | 16 | 0.5% | 4h | 21.2d ago · 44× | 1% ±3 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 11% ±14 | 35% ±33 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 346 → 8 | |
| 30D POC | 3,875.63 (+20.0%) | 10 | 7.7% | 3.8d | 2.9d ago · 67× | 3% ±7 | 26% ±19 | 17% ±17 | 57% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±7 | 8% ±18 | 39% ±48 | > 7d | 1.04% | 1.80% | 163 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 3,642.02–3,701.92 (+12.8%) | 6.4 | 1.2% | 8h | 1.7d ago · 50× | 27% ±27 | 29% ±24 | 18% ±20 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 4% ±5 | 25% ±26 | 60% ±48 | 87% ±46 | 2.4d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 68 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 3,623.92–3,640.3 (+12.2%) | 6.1 | 1.9% | 15h | 3.1d ago · 97× | 16% ±10 | 48% ±16 | 6% ±8 | 46% ±16 | 37 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±10 | 34% ±22 | 54% ±37 | 6.4d | 1.95% | 2.08% | 308 → 7 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D VAL | 3,429.97–3,462.32 (+6.2%) | 3.1 | 4.3% | 1.6d | 2.9d ago · 104× | 25% ±19 | 39% ±16 | 6% ±8 | 55% ±16 | 36 | 6% ±4 | 24% ±19 | 38% ±36 | 53% ±56 | 5.8d | 2.13% | 1.75% | 121 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 3,378.46–3,462.32 (+4.6%) | 2.3 | 3.3% | 23h | 9.4d ago · 82× | 42% ±19 | 53% ±18 | 15% ±12 | 32% ±16 | 31 | 11% ±5 | 42% ±19 | 53% ±35 | 56% ±49 | 1.8d | 2.06% | 2.59% | 151 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,357.1 (+3.9%) | 2.0 | 2.4% | 14h | 6.9d ago · 56× | 43% ±43 | 55% ±24 | 5% ±10 | 40% ±23 | 17 | 19% ±14 | 42% ±43 | 59% ±68 | 73% | 1.4d | 3.41% | 2.33% | 29 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,229.92 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 3,227.4 (-0.1%) | 0.0 | 2.5% | 9h | 2.7d ago · 59× | 84% ±27 | 48% ±21 | 12% ±14 | 40% ±20 | 22 | 67% ±14 | 84% ±27 | 84% ±51 | 84% | 1h | 2.54% | 1.41% | 41 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 3,229.92 | 3,429.97 | 3,156.03 | stop | -1.40% |