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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-15 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,229.04 (+33.4%) | 17 | 0.4% | 4h | 21.0d ago · 44× | 1% ±3 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 10% ±14 | 35% ±35 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 310 → 7 | |
| 30D POC | 3,875.63 (+22.2%) | 12 | 7.4% | 3.6d | 2.8d ago · 67× | 3% ±6 | 26% ±19 | 17% ±17 | 57% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 8% ±18 | 39% ±48 | > 7d | 1.04% | 1.80% | 156 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 3,630.04–3,701.92 (+14.5%) | 7.5 | 1.6% | 13h | 1.5d ago · 50× | 23% ±25 | 29% ±24 | 18% ±20 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 3% ±4 | 22% ±23 | 52% ±49 | 78% ±57 | 2.8d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 74 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 3,623.92–3,652.1 (+14.3%) | 7.4 | 1.8% | 14h | 2.9d ago · 97× | 9% ±8 | 48% ±16 | 6% ±8 | 46% ±16 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±8 | 26% ±20 | 47% ±35 | 6.7d | 1.95% | 2.08% | 327 → 8 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D VAL | 3,424.95–3,438.36 (+8.0%) | 4.2 | 4.0% | 1.4d | 2.8d ago · 104× | 15% ±15 | 39% ±16 | 6% ±8 | 55% ±16 | 36 | 3% ±3 | 15% ±15 | 28% ±33 | 46% ±56 | 7.0d | 2.13% | 1.75% | 134 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 3,378.46–3,462.32 (+6.6%) | 3.4 | 3.1% | 22h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 26% ±16 | 53% ±18 | 15% ±12 | 32% ±16 | 31 | 4% ±3 | 26% ±15 | 38% ±30 | 45% ±49 | > 7d | 2.06% | 2.59% | 183 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 3,218.78–3,233.2 (+1.5%) | 0.8 | 2.7% | 10h | 6.8d ago · 56× | 80% ±28 | 45% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 50% ±24 | 17 | 68% ±13 | 78% ±27 | 84% ±41 | 87% | 2h | 2.89% | 2.50% | 51 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,170.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.