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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-15 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,229.04 (+33.2%) | 32 | 0.2% | 2h | 21.0d ago · 44× | 2% ±8 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 6% ±20 | 31% ±64 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 92 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 3,863.65 (+21.7%) | 21 | 4.2% | 2.1d | 2.7d ago · 67× | 2% ±10 | 26% ±19 | 17% ±17 | 57% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 12% ±36 | 24% | > 7d | 1.04% | 1.80% | 52 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 3,630.04–3,701.92 (+14.4%) | 14 | 0.9% | 7h | 1.5d ago · 50× | 1% ±4 | 29% ±24 | 18% ±20 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 12% ±24 | 23% ±48 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 132 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,623.92 (+14.2%) | 14 | 1.1% | 8h | 2.9d ago · 70× | 4% ±6 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 12% ±17 | 33% ±38 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 268 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,504.6 (+10.4%) | 10 | 1.6% | 8h | 2.9d ago · 97× | 4% ±6 | 48% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 45% ±16 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 17% ±20 | 37% ±39 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.84% | 259 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D POC | 3,426.38–3,429.97 (+8.0%) | 7.7 | 2.3% | 19h | 2.7d ago · 79× | 4% ±8 | 25% ±17 | 7% ±10 | 68% ±18 | 25 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±8 | 10% ±20 | 31% ±45 | > 7d | 2.04% | 1.84% | 152 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,218.78 (+1.4%) | 1.4 | 1.6% | 6h | 22.5d ago · 46× | 61% ±48 | 33% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 61% ±25 | 15 | 44% ±17 | 68% ±41 | 82% ±53 | 82% | 5h | 2.30% | 2.69% | 32 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 3,183.05 (+0.3%) | 0.3 | 1.9% | 12h | 2.7d ago · 104× | 93% ±12 | 49% ±16 | 5% ±7 | 46% ±16 | 36 | 78% ±8 | 93% ±12 | 95% ±18 | 97% ±18 | 1h | 2.20% | 1.69% | 108 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 3,174.8–3,210.74 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 1.8% | 12h | 9.2d ago · 82× | 85% ±22 | 53% ±18 | 15% ±12 | 32% ±16 | 31 | 79% ±10 | 86% ±22 | 94% ±28 | 94% | 1h | 2.06% | 2.59% | 61 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,173.87 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,068 (-3.3%) | 3.2 | 0.2% | 16m | 2.5d ago · 85× | 33% ±15 | 50% ±18 | 15% ±12 | 35% ±17 | 31 | 9% ±4 | 33% ±15 | 54% ±28 | 67% ±41 | 2.4d | 2.52% | 1.39% | 224 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 3,173.87 | 3,068 | 3,504.6 | target | +2.70% |