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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-16 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,229.04 (+33.5%) | 36 | 0.2% | 2h | 21.1d ago · 44× | 2% ±9 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±15 | 12% | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 57 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 3,863.65 (+21.9%) | 24 | 3.7% | 1.8d | 2.8d ago · 67× | 3% ±15 | 26% ±19 | 17% ±17 | 57% ±22 | 20 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±13 | 17% ±53 | 33% | > 7d | 1.04% | 1.80% | 35 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 3,642.02–3,713.9 (+14.9%) | 16 | 0.6% | 4h | 1.6d ago · 50× | 1% ±3 | 29% ±24 | 18% ±20 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 8% ±19 | 18% ±43 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 142 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,631.2 (+14.6%) | 16 | 0.8% | 6h | 3.0d ago · 70× | 3% ±6 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 9% ±16 | 28% ±36 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 240 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,504.6 (+10.6%) | 12 | 1.5% | 7h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 3% ±6 | 48% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 45% ±16 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 15% ±20 | 36% ±42 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.84% | 221 → 5 | |
| 14D POC | 3,429.1 (+8.2%) | 8.9 | 2.2% | 17h | 2.8d ago · 79× | 1% ±4 | 25% ±17 | 7% ±10 | 68% ±18 | 25 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 3% ±12 | 21% ±40 | > 7d | 2.04% | 1.84% | 159 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,414.4 (+7.8%) | 8.4 | 1.8% | 15h | 105.1d ago · 18× | 9% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 8% ±15 | 18% ±34 | 46% ±69 | > 7d | — | — | 83 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 3,378.46–3,450.34 (+6.6%) | 7.2 | 1.6% | 11h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 9% ±10 | 53% ±18 | 15% ±12 | 32% ±16 | 31 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±9 | 25% ±25 | 42% ±43 | > 7d | 2.06% | 2.59% | 206 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,218.4 (+1.6%) | 1.7 | 1.7% | 8h | 22.6d ago · 46× | 54% ±49 | 33% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 61% ±25 | 15 | 33% ±16 | 64% ±38 | 81% ±55 | 81% | 9h | 2.30% | 2.69% | 34 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 3,183.05 (+0.5%) | 0.5 | 1.9% | 12h | 2.8d ago · 104× | 89% ±14 | 48% ±16 | 5% ±7 | 48% ±16 | 37 | 74% ±8 | 89% ±13 | 91% ±21 | 95% ±24 | 1h | 2.17% | 1.74% | 124 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,168.55 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,068 (-3.2%) | 3.4 | 0.1% | 14m | 2.6d ago · 85× | 33% ±15 | 50% ±18 | 15% ±12 | 35% ±17 | 31 | 8% ±3 | 32% ±14 | 54% ±27 | 70% ±37 | 2.3d | 2.52% | 1.39% | 241 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.