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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-18 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,226.81 (+40.7%) | 24 | 0.4% | 4h | 21.1d ago · 44× | 2% ±5 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 5% ±14 | 31% ±45 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 182 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 3,866.64 (+28.7%) | 17 | 5.0% | 2.5d | 2.8d ago · 67× | 1% ±5 | 26% ±19 | 17% ±17 | 57% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 6% ±18 | 26% ±61 | > 7d | 1.04% | 1.80% | 101 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 3,637.45–3,702.93 (+21.0%) | 12 | 1.1% | 8h | 1.6d ago · 50× | 1% ±4 | 29% ±24 | 18% ±20 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 13% ±23 | 26% ±50 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 140 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,486.47 (+16.0%) | 9.4 | 2.4% | 12h | 3.0d ago · 70× | 8% ±7 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±7 | 23% ±18 | 46% ±35 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 353 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,385.1 (+12.6%) | 7.4 | 2.7% | 22h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 10% ±8 | 48% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 45% ±16 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±8 | 24% ±20 | 43% ±37 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.84% | 306 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,336.22 (+11.0%) | 6.5 | 2.1% | 13h | 105.1d ago · 18× | 13% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 12% ±16 | 21% ±33 | 47% ±69 | > 7d | — | — | 99 → 2 |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 3,180.45–3,189.88 (+5.8%) | 3.4 | 3.9% | 1.2d | 2.8d ago · 104× | 22% ±17 | 39% ±16 | 6% ±7 | 55% ±16 | 38 | 6% ±4 | 22% ±17 | 36% ±33 | 53% ±56 | 6.2d | 2.13% | 1.75% | 135 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 3,139.76–3,231.44 (+4.5%) | 2.6 | 2.4% | 11h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 40% ±18 | 53% ±17 | 14% ±12 | 33% ±16 | 33 | 9% ±4 | 40% ±18 | 48% ±33 | 53% ±49 | 4.7d | 2.06% | 2.04% | 164 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,100.54 (+3.2%) | 1.9 | 1.6% | 6h | 22.6d ago · 46× | 63% ±42 | 37% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 58% ±24 | 16 | 28% ±15 | 64% ±38 | 79% ±57 | 79% | 9h | 2.60% | 2.66% | 34 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,005 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2,943.31 (-2.1%) | 1.2 | <0.1% | 9m | 2.6d ago · 85× | 57% ±21 | 51% ±17 | 14% ±12 | 34% ±16 | 32 | 41% ±8 | 58% ±21 | 70% ±34 | 75% ±49 | 8h | 2.52% | 1.42% | 133 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.