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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-18 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,226.81 (+34.1%) | 21 | 0.4% | 4h | 21.1d ago · 44× | 1% ±4 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 7% ±13 | 31% ±37 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 234 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 3,866.64 (+22.7%) | 14 | 4.8% | 2.5d | 2.8d ago · 67× | 1% ±4 | 26% ±19 | 17% ±17 | 57% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 8% ±18 | 32% ±53 | > 7d | 1.04% | 1.80% | 138 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 3,637.45–3,716.03 (+15.4%) | 9.4 | 1.1% | 8h | 1.6d ago · 50× | 7% ±13 | 29% ±24 | 18% ±20 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±12 | 27% ±35 | 49% ±69 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 104 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,443.59 (+9.3%) | 5.7 | 3.2% | 1.3d | 3.0d ago · 70× | 14% ±10 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±10 | 36% ±24 | 57% ±40 | 6.2d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 261 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 3,388.6–3,467.19 (+7.5%) | 4.6 | 2.8% | 23h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 12% ±11 | 53% ±17 | 14% ±12 | 33% ±16 | 33 | 1% ±2 | 13% ±11 | 28% ±27 | 43% ±43 | > 7d | 2.06% | 2.04% | 206 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,310.02 (+5.1%) | 3.1 | 2.4% | 14h | 105.1d ago · 18× | 22% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 6% ±6 | 21% ±24 | 31% ±45 | 38% ±67 | > 7d | — | — | 64 → 2 |
| 7D VAH | 3,245.96 (+3.0%) | 1.8 | 1.8% | 7h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 48% ±20 | 48% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 45% ±16 | 37 | 23% ±7 | 48% ±20 | 65% ±33 | 79% ±46 | 1.0d | 1.94% | 1.84% | 140 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 3,184.78–3,189.88 (+1.1%) | 0.7 | 4.0% | 1.1d | 2.8d ago · 104× | 87% ±14 | 40% ±16 | 6% ±7 | 54% ±16 | 38 | 72% ±8 | 86% ±14 | 90% ±21 | 94% ±27 | 1h | 2.13% | 1.74% | 136 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,150.88 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 3,050.51 (-3.2%) | 1.9 | 1.6% | 7h | 2.6d ago · 59× | 53% ±22 | 43% ±19 | 11% ±12 | 46% ±20 | 25 | 23% ±8 | 52% ±22 | 64% ±36 | 72% ±51 | 23h | 2.39% | 1.79% | 118 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,975.51 (-5.6%) | 3.4 | 0.7% | 2h | 2.6d ago · 85× | 34% ±15 | 51% ±17 | 14% ±12 | 34% ±16 | 32 | 9% ±4 | 35% ±15 | 57% ±26 | 71% ±36 | 2.0d | 2.52% | 1.42% | 248 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 3,150.88 | 3,189.88 | 2,979.76 | stop | -6.41% |