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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-19 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,226.81 (+37.3%) | 29 | 0.3% | 3h | 21.1d ago · 44× | 1% ±5 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±5 | 4% ±14 | 28% ±51 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 139 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 3,866.64 (+25.6%) | 20 | 3.7% | 1.9d | 2.8d ago · 67× | 1% ±6 | 26% ±19 | 17% ±17 | 57% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 7% ±23 | 15% ±50 | > 7d | 1.04% | 1.80% | 81 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 3,637.45–3,702.93 (+18.1%) | 14 | 0.8% | 7h | 1.6d ago · 50× | 1% ±3 | 29% ±24 | 18% ±20 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 10% ±20 | 21% ±40 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 153 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,422.15 (+11.1%) | 8.7 | 2.6% | 22h | 3.0d ago · 70× | 8% ±7 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±7 | 24% ±19 | 46% ±33 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 362 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,296.93 (+7.1%) | 5.5 | 1.7% | 9h | 105.1d ago · 18× | 12% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 11% ±15 | 20% ±32 | 46% ±56 | > 7d | — | — | 108 → 3 |
| 7D VAH | 3,233.08 (+5.0%) | 3.9 | 1.7% | 8h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 34% ±13 | 48% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 45% ±16 | 37 | 5% ±3 | 34% ±13 | 51% ±24 | 67% ±35 | 2.8d | 1.94% | 1.84% | 292 → 7 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 3,184.78–3,189.88 (+3.4%) | 2.7 | 3.0% | 21h | 2.8d ago · 104× | 33% ±21 | 40% ±16 | 6% ±7 | 54% ±16 | 38 | 10% ±5 | 33% ±20 | 47% ±37 | 60% ±55 | 3.7d | 2.13% | 1.74% | 126 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 3,126.67–3,231.44 (+1.5%) | 1.2 | 2.0% | 9h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 66% ±19 | 53% ±17 | 14% ±12 | 33% ±16 | 33 | 39% ±8 | 67% ±18 | 76% ±29 | 78% ±41 | 7h | 2.06% | 2.04% | 148 → 4 | |
| at post · 3,079.13 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,001.26 (-2.5%) | 2.0 | 1.0% | 5h | 2.6d ago · 85× | 41% ±20 | 53% ±17 | 14% ±12 | 33% ±16 | 33 | 19% ±6 | 42% ±19 | 58% ±34 | 66% ±46 | 1.6d | 2.52% | 1.44% | 147 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,979.04 (-3.3%) | 2.5 | 0.7% | 2h | 2.6d ago · 59× | 44% ±20 | 43% ±19 | 11% ±12 | 46% ±20 | 25 | 11% ±5 | 45% ±20 | 59% ±34 | 68% ±53 | 1.8d | 2.39% | 1.79% | 141 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.