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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-19 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,226.64 (+43.3%) | 31 | 0.3% | 3h | 21.0d ago · 44× | 2% ±6 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 4% ±15 | 24% ±49 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 123 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 3,864.2 (+31.0%) | 22 | 4.0% | 2.0d | 2.7d ago · 67× | 2% ±7 | 26% ±19 | 17% ±17 | 57% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 9% ±28 | 17% ±52 | > 7d | 1.04% | 1.80% | 69 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 3,633.55–3,712.63 (+23.2%) | 17 | 1.0% | 8h | 1.5d ago · 50× | 1% ±3 | 29% ±24 | 18% ±20 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 6% ±16 | 16% ±36 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 158 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,419.42 (+16.0%) | 11 | 2.5% | 22h | 2.9d ago · 70× | 6% ±6 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 17% ±17 | 40% ±34 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 347 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,264.52 (+10.7%) | 7.7 | 1.2% | 4h | 105.0d ago · 18× | 7% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±12 | 13% ±27 | 37% ±67 | > 7d | — | — | 102 → 2 |
| 7D VAH | 3,224.82 (+9.4%) | 6.7 | 2.0% | 10h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 15% ±9 | 48% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 45% ±16 | 37 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±9 | 29% ±21 | 47% ±35 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.84% | 329 → 8 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 3,184.45–3,190.17 (+8.0%) | 5.7 | 3.1% | 22h | 2.7d ago · 104× | 6% ±9 | 40% ±16 | 6% ±7 | 54% ±16 | 38 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±9 | 16% ±25 | 32% ±53 | > 7d | 2.13% | 1.74% | 142 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 3,080.01–3,224.98 (+4.4%) | 3.2 | 2.0% | 9h | 9.2d ago · 82× | 30% ±16 | 53% ±17 | 14% ±12 | 33% ±16 | 33 | 6% ±3 | 31% ±16 | 41% ±29 | 48% ±44 | > 7d | 2.06% | 2.04% | 190 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,016.93 (+2.3%) | 1.7 | 1.5% | 7h | 6.7d ago · 56× | 53% ±40 | 57% ±23 | 5% ±10 | 38% ±22 | 18 | 27% ±14 | 53% ±40 | 65% ±66 | 73% | 13h | 3.58% | 2.04% | 38 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,963.95 (+0.5%) | 0.4 | 0.5% | 1h | 22.5d ago · 46× | 91% ±22 | 38% ±22 | 5% ±10 | 57% ±23 | 18 | 77% ±14 | 91% ±22 | 97% ±23 | 97% | 1h | 3.00% | 2.55% | 33 → 1 | |
| at post · 2,948.87 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 2,948.87 | 2,493.4 | 3,184.45 | expired | +2.97% |