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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-22 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,648.79 (+32.5%) | 25 | 0.4% | 3h | 21.2d ago · 44× | 1% ±4 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 3% ±10 | 27% ±39 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 189 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,242.8 (+17.7%) | 14 | 1.2% | 5h | 3.1d ago · 70× | 4% ±5 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 11% ±15 | 29% ±34 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 307 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,223.36 (+17.0%) | 13 | 1.7% | 8h | 3.1d ago · 97× | 2% ±4 | 48% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 45% ±16 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 12% ±19 | 29% ±40 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.84% | 192 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,185.71–3,199.72 (+15.7%) | 12 | 2.5% | 19h | 2.9d ago · 79× | 1% ±4 | 27% ±17 | 11% ±12 | 62% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 5% ±14 | 24% ±42 | > 7d | 1.61% | 1.81% | 166 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 3,025.38 (+9.9%) | 7.7 | 2.0% | 12h | 2.9d ago · 104× | 4% ±8 | 50% ±16 | 5% ±7 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 18% ±27 | 40% ±55 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.63% | 144 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 2,995.59–3,224.21 (+8.8%) | 6.8 | 1.4% | 6h | 9.4d ago · 82× | 9% ±9 | 54% ±17 | 14% ±11 | 32% ±16 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±9 | 24% ±23 | 39% ±43 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.99% | 227 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 2,881.28–2,946.6 (+4.6%) | 3.6 | 0.6% | 3h | 1.7d ago · 50× | 48% ±31 | 33% ±24 | 17% ±19 | 50% ±25 | 15 | 10% ±7 | 47% ±29 | 64% ±47 | 83% ±52 | 1.0d | 3.04% | 1.21% | 67 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,839.98 (+3.1%) | 2.4 | 0.6% | 3h | 6.9d ago · 56× | 32% ±32 | 59% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 36% ±22 | 19 | 8% ±7 | 29% ±30 | 48% ±57 | 61% | 3.0d | 3.74% | 1.74% | 51 → 1 | |
| at post · 2,753.99 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 2,734.31 (-0.7%) | 0.6 | 1.5% | 10h | 1.2d ago · 31× | 81% ±38 | 43% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 67% ±17 | 85% ±31 | 85% ±50 | 91% | 2h | 1.66% | 2.76% | 31 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,692.66 (-2.2%) | 1.7 | 0.6% | 2h | 2.7d ago · 59× | 58% ±21 | 40% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 50% ±19 | 27 | 23% ±7 | 56% ±20 | 66% ±33 | 73% ±50 | 18h | 2.21% | 2.29% | 136 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 2,753.99 | 3,199.72 | 2,569.7 | expired | +1.62% |