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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-24 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,648.79 (+30.2%) | 25 | 0.4% | 3h | 21.0d ago · 44× | 1% ±3 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±10 | 26% ±38 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 208 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,246.8 (+15.9%) | 13 | 1.1% | 4h | 3.0d ago · 70× | 4% ±5 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 12% ±15 | 30% ±32 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 339 → 8 | |
| 30D POC | 3,199.72 (+14.2%) | 12 | 2.4% | 17h | 2.8d ago · 67× | 2% ±5 | 26% ±19 | 17% ±17 | 57% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 7% ±15 | 30% ±45 | > 7d | 1.04% | 1.80% | 188 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D POC | 3,163–3,180.01 (+12.9%) | 10 | 2.2% | 18h | 2.8d ago · 97× | 3% ±5 | 39% ±16 | 7% ±8 | 53% ±16 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 10% ±14 | 27% ±33 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.83% | 283 → 7 | |
| 7D POC | 3,024.3 (+7.9%) | 6.4 | 2.0% | 11h | 2.8d ago · 104× | 6% ±9 | 50% ±16 | 5% ±7 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±9 | 19% ±24 | 38% ±47 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.63% | 173 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 2,995.59–3,224.21 (+6.9%) | 5.6 | 1.4% | 6h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 11% ±10 | 54% ±17 | 14% ±11 | 32% ±16 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±10 | 25% ±24 | 41% ±39 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.99% | 236 → 6 | |
| LVN zone | 2,897.61–2,946.6 (+3.4%) | 2.8 | 0.6% | 2h | 1.5d ago · 50× | 43% ±29 | 33% ±24 | 17% ±19 | 50% ±25 | 15 | 11% ±7 | 47% ±28 | 74% ±43 | 87% ±47 | 1.0d | 3.04% | 1.21% | 72 → 2 | |
| at post · 2,802.24 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,783.3–2,797.07 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 1.4% | 11h | 2.5d ago · 85× | 81% ±22 | 49% ±16 | 13% ±11 | 38% ±16 | 36 | 66% ±10 | 81% ±21 | 85% ±35 | 89% ±43 | 1h | 2.69% | 1.85% | 79 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,743.3 (-2.1%) | 1.7 | 1.6% | 13h | 2.5d ago · 59× | 53% ±20 | 40% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 50% ±19 | 27 | 23% ±7 | 53% ±20 | 63% ±33 | 71% ±52 | 19h | 2.21% | 2.29% | 139 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 2,802.24 | 3,024.3 | 2,731.2 | expired | +4.42% |