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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-27 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,434 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.27 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,645.69–3,707.86 (+20.4%) | 22 | 0.4% | 3h | 1.4d ago · 50× | 1% ±3 | 37% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 8% ±27 | > 7d | 3.24% | 1.24% | 166 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,490.28 (+15.3%) | 17 | 1.2% | 7h | 20.9d ago · 44× | 1% ±2 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±12 | 30% ±30 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 364 → 9 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,219.39 (+6.4%) | 6.9 | 1.3% | 8h | 2.8d ago · 70× | 10% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±8 | 28% ±20 | 47% ±35 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 351 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 3,101.76–3,226.09 (+2.5%) | 2.7 | 1.3% | 7h | 9.1d ago · 82× | 38% ±17 | 55% ±16 | 13% ±11 | 32% ±15 | 35 | 9% ±4 | 39% ±17 | 49% ±30 | 56% ±44 | 3.5d | 2.09% | 1.94% | 191 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 3,031.83 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 2.1% | 16h | 2.6d ago · 67× | 91% ±18 | 26% ±19 | 17% ±17 | 57% ±22 | 20 | 84% ±10 | 91% ±18 | 93% ±29 | 93% | 1h | 1.04% | 1.80% | 55 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,026.85 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 3,024.13 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.1% | 17h | 2.5d ago · 85× | 88% ±19 | 47% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 44% ±17 | 31 | 76% ±10 | 88% ±18 | 93% ±24 | 93% ±34 | 1h | 2.24% | 2.10% | 74 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 2,915.28–2,961.9 (-2.1%) | 2.3 | 1.2% | 8h | 4.1d ago · 84× | 60% ±21 | 46% ±15 | 19% ±11 | 35% ±14 | 45 | 17% ±6 | 58% ±21 | 80% ±29 | 86% ±39 | 20h | 2.66% | 1.54% | 128 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,930.5 (-3.2%) | 3.5 | 1.5% | 11h | 2.8d ago · 65× | 35% ±23 | 46% ±20 | 4% ±8 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 8% ±5 | 35% ±23 | 58% ±39 | 63% ±67 | 2.0d | 2.91% | 1.94% | 104 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D POC | 2,824.75–2,828.88 (-6.5%) | 7.1 | 1.5% | 12h | 2.4d ago · 106× | 11% ±9 | 50% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±14 | 46 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±9 | 33% ±23 | 61% ±36 | 5.1d | 2.41% | 1.75% | 291 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 2,705.5–2,713.24 (-10.4%) | 11 | 0.9% | 4h | 2.4d ago · 85× | 3% ±4 | 51% ±16 | 12% ±11 | 37% ±16 | 37 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 16% ±17 | 39% ±34 | > 7d | 2.73% | 1.69% | 319 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | short | 3,026.85 | 2,713.24 | 3,490.28 | expired | -1.21% |