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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-28 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,434 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.27 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,633.77–3,718.25 (+18.6%) | 27 | 0.5% | 4h | 1.3d ago · 50× | 1% ±3 | 37% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 5% ±21 | > 7d | 3.24% | 1.24% | 156 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,450.73 (+12.6%) | 18 | 1.1% | 11h | 20.8d ago · 44× | 1% ±2 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±12 | 29% ±32 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 347 → 8 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,198.71 (+4.4%) | 6.3 | 1.5% | 11h | 2.8d ago · 70× | 12% ±9 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±9 | 30% ±21 | 50% ±35 | 7.0d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 317 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 3,112.8–3,225.44 (+1.6%) | 2.3 | 1.0% | 6h | 9.1d ago · 82× | 42% ±18 | 54% ±16 | 13% ±11 | 33% ±15 | 36 | 10% ±4 | 41% ±18 | 53% ±31 | 58% ±48 | 1.7d | 2.07% | 1.99% | 179 → 4 | |
| at post · 3,063.61 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,021.28–3,023.83 (-1.3%) | 1.8 | 2.0% | 18h | 2.4d ago · 85× | 63% ±26 | 55% ±17 | 10% ±10 | 36% ±17 | 32 | 35% ±10 | 63% ±26 | 81% ±39 | 89% ±44 | 11h | 2.40% | 1.54% | 80 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,969.6 (-3.1%) | 4.4 | 0.9% | 5h | 2.8d ago · 65× | 22% ±18 | 46% ±20 | 4% ±8 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 4% ±3 | 21% ±18 | 45% ±37 | 51% ±57 | 5.8d | 2.91% | 1.94% | 127 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 2,915.68–2,957.92 (-3.4%) | 4.9 | 1.0% | 6h | 4.1d ago · 84× | 38% ±21 | 46% ±15 | 19% ±11 | 35% ±14 | 45 | 8% ±5 | 37% ±21 | 65% ±35 | 74% ±50 | 1.5d | 2.66% | 1.54% | 124 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 2,916.7 (-4.8%) | 6.8 | 1.1% | 8h | 2.4d ago · 106× | 12% ±12 | 55% ±14 | 2% ±4 | 43% ±14 | 46 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±11 | 26% ±27 | 56% ±49 | 5.5d | 2.53% | 1.43% | 185 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,842.58 (-7.2%) | 10 | 1.0% | 6h | 2.3d ago · 59× | 6% ±6 | 40% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 50% ±19 | 27 | 0% ±1 | 6% ±6 | 25% ±20 | 49% ±35 | > 7d | 2.21% | 2.29% | 318 → 8 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,725.8 (-11.0%) | 16 | 0.9% | 5h | 2.3d ago · 85× | 2% ±5 | 53% ±16 | 13% ±11 | 35% ±15 | 37 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 11% ±17 | 28% ±36 | > 7d | 2.52% | 1.80% | 251 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,704.48 (-11.7%) | 17 | 0.5% | 2h | 22.5d ago · 30× | 2% ±4 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 8% ±13 | 22% ±31 | > 7d | 3.29% | 1.41% | 314 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 3,063.61 | 3,198.71 | 2,842.58 | expired | -1.86% |
| 30d | POC | long | 3,063.61 | 3,450.73 | 2,704.48 | expired | -1.86% |