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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-28 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,639.89–3,821.51 (+20.4%) | 23 | 0.5% | 4h | 1.6d ago · 50× | 1% ±3 | 37% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 9% ±27 | > 7d | 3.24% | 1.24% | 171 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,444.29 (+13.9%) | 15 | 1.5% | 17h | 21.1d ago · 44× | 1% ±2 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±12 | 31% ±30 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 387 → 9 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,129.09 (+3.5%) | 3.9 | 1.2% | 6h | 3.0d ago · 70× | 26% ±17 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 6% ±4 | 25% ±17 | 50% ±35 | 59% ±48 | 3.3d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 148 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 3,108.99–3,220.76 (+2.8%) | 3.1 | 1.3% | 7h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 30% ±15 | 53% ±16 | 15% ±12 | 33% ±15 | 37 | 7% ±3 | 30% ±15 | 44% ±28 | 53% ±44 | 6.5d | 2.06% | 2.04% | 212 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,083.15 (+2.0%) | 2.2 | 1.4% | 7h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 52% ±18 | 48% ±16 | 7% ±8 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 16% ±5 | 52% ±18 | 67% ±29 | 79% ±40 | 22h | 1.94% | 2.05% | 176 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 3,025.38–3,032.15 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.6% | 1.0d | 2.8d ago · 104× | 91% ±13 | 37% ±15 | 8% ±9 | 55% ±16 | 39 | 82% ±7 | 91% ±13 | 93% ±20 | 95% ±25 | 1h | 1.89% | 1.70% | 112 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,023.67 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,913.39–2,955.31 (-2.3%) | 2.5 | 1.3% | 8h | 4.3d ago · 84× | 52% ±21 | 46% ±15 | 19% ±11 | 35% ±14 | 45 | 14% ±6 | 50% ±21 | 74% ±33 | 82% ±43 | 1.0d | 2.66% | 1.54% | 131 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,821.71 (-6.7%) | 7.4 | 1.5% | 12h | 2.6d ago · 85× | 12% ±8 | 53% ±16 | 13% ±11 | 35% ±15 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±8 | 29% ±20 | 57% ±32 | 5.3d | 2.52% | 1.80% | 358 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,795.98 (-7.5%) | 8.4 | 1.1% | 8h | 2.6d ago · 59× | 10% ±8 | 40% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 50% ±19 | 27 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±8 | 33% ±22 | 57% ±37 | 5.3d | 2.21% | 2.29% | 303 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,703.83 (-10.6%) | 12 | 0.6% | 2h | 22.7d ago · 30× | 3% ±4 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 16% ±17 | 39% ±34 | > 7d | 3.29% | 1.41% | 330 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 3,023.67 | 3,029.68 | 3,130.22 | target | +0.72% |
| 14d | POC | short | 3,023.67 | 2,795.98 | 3,129.09 | expired | +0.72% |
| 30d | POC | short | 3,023.67 | 2,703.83 | 3,444.29 | expired | +0.72% |