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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-29 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,434 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.27 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,625.48–3,823.93 (+19.3%) | 20 | 0.8% | 7h | 1.3d ago · 50× | 1% ±3 | 37% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 9% ±27 | > 7d | 3.24% | 1.24% | 182 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,427.03 (+12.8%) | 13 | 1.8% | 17h | 20.8d ago · 44× | 3% ±4 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 13% ±14 | 37% ±30 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 420 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 3,122.74–3,228.58 (+2.7%) | 2.9 | 1.4% | 7h | 9.1d ago · 82× | 35% ±16 | 53% ±16 | 15% ±12 | 33% ±15 | 37 | 8% ±4 | 34% ±16 | 48% ±30 | 55% ±44 | 4.7d | 2.06% | 2.04% | 205 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,116.52 (+2.5%) | 2.6 | 1.4% | 8h | 2.7d ago · 70× | 45% ±26 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 19% ±8 | 44% ±26 | 63% ±42 | 68% ±65 | 1.5d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 86 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,083.15 (+1.4%) | 1.5 | 1.5% | 8h | 2.8d ago · 97× | 56% ±20 | 48% ±16 | 7% ±8 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 32% ±8 | 56% ±20 | 75% ±30 | 84% ±41 | 14h | 1.94% | 2.05% | 143 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,039.18 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,023.52–3,029.68 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 3.1% | 1.3d | 2.4d ago · 106× | 85% ±17 | 54% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 40% ±14 | 46 | 73% ±9 | 85% ±17 | 90% ±24 | 93% ±34 | 1h | 2.52% | 1.48% | 104 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 2,911.06–2,950.75 (-2.9%) | 3.0 | 1.5% | 8h | 4.1d ago · 84× | 49% ±20 | 46% ±15 | 19% ±11 | 35% ±14 | 45 | 11% ±5 | 48% ±20 | 72% ±31 | 79% ±46 | 1.1d | 2.66% | 1.54% | 141 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,841.52 (-6.5%) | 6.8 | 1.4% | 8h | 2.3d ago · 85× | 16% ±9 | 53% ±16 | 13% ±11 | 35% ±15 | 37 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±9 | 34% ±21 | 61% ±32 | 4.8d | 2.52% | 1.80% | 360 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,795.98 (-8.0%) | 8.3 | 1.2% | 9h | 2.3d ago · 59× | 10% ±8 | 40% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 50% ±19 | 27 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±8 | 33% ±22 | 57% ±37 | 5.4d | 2.21% | 2.29% | 306 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,699.38 (-11.2%) | 12 | 0.6% | 2h | 22.4d ago · 30× | 3% ±4 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 16% ±16 | 39% ±34 | > 7d | 3.29% | 1.41% | 336 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 3,039.18 | 3,083.15 | 2,841.52 | expired | -1.39% |
| 14d | POC | long | 3,039.18 | 3,116.52 | 2,795.98 | expired | -1.39% |
| 30d | POC | long | 3,039.18 | 3,427.03 | 2,699.38 | expired | -1.39% |