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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-30 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,434 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.27 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,644.63–3,852.15 (+19.8%) | 32 | 0.3% | 2h | 1.3d ago · 50× | 1% ±4 | 37% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±6 | 3% ±21 | > 7d | 3.24% | 1.24% | 129 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,385.23 (+11.3%) | 18 | 0.9% | 8h | 20.8d ago · 44× | 1% ±2 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±12 | 28% ±29 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 358 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 3,138.8–3,229.59 (+3.2%) | 5.1 | 0.9% | 5h | 9.1d ago · 82× | 11% ±10 | 53% ±16 | 15% ±12 | 33% ±15 | 37 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±10 | 30% ±24 | 48% ±40 | > 7d | 2.06% | 2.04% | 251 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,108.61 (+2.2%) | 3.5 | 0.9% | 5h | 2.7d ago · 70× | 28% ±19 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 7% ±5 | 28% ±19 | 53% ±37 | 63% ±55 | 2.6d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 124 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,061.86 (+0.6%) | 1.0 | 1.2% | 7h | 2.8d ago · 97× | 73% ±19 | 48% ±16 | 7% ±8 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 51% ±9 | 73% ±19 | 85% ±26 | 89% ±35 | 4h | 1.94% | 2.05% | 127 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,042.75 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 3,028.56–3,033.21 (-0.3%) | 0.5 | 2.2% | 23h | 2.4d ago · 106× | 84% ±16 | 53% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 41% ±14 | 47 | 70% ±8 | 84% ±16 | 90% ±22 | 94% ±27 | 1h | 2.35% | 1.59% | 127 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,896.43 (-4.8%) | 7.7 | 0.8% | 4h | 2.3d ago · 85× | 11% ±8 | 53% ±16 | 13% ±11 | 35% ±15 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±8 | 28% ±19 | 55% ±33 | 5.7d | 2.52% | 1.80% | 383 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 2,814.55–2,827.52 (-7.1%) | 11 | 1.1% | 8h | 4.1d ago · 84× | 2% ±5 | 46% ±15 | 19% ±11 | 35% ±14 | 45 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 11% ±20 | 14% ±34 | > 7d | 2.66% | 1.54% | 177 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,813.03 (-7.5%) | 12 | 1.1% | 8h | 2.3d ago · 59× | 2% ±4 | 40% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 50% ±19 | 27 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 16% ±16 | 37% ±34 | > 7d | 2.21% | 2.29% | 353 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,697.82 (-11.3%) | 18 | 0.3% | 51m | 22.4d ago · 30× | 2% ±4 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 6% ±11 | 19% ±27 | > 7d | 3.29% | 1.41% | 329 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 3,042.75 | 3,061.86 | 2,896.43 | stop | -10.26% |
| 14d | POC | long | 3,042.75 | 3,108.61 | 2,813.03 | stop | -10.26% |
| 30d | POC | long | 3,042.75 | 3,385.23 | 2,697.82 | expired | -10.26% |