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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-01 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,644.63–3,865.12 (+28.6%) | 32 | 0.4% | 3h | 1.5d ago · 50× | 1% ±4 | 37% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±6 | 4% ±21 | > 7d | 3.24% | 1.24% | 128 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,372.26 (+19.0%) | 21 | 1.1% | 7h | 21.0d ago · 44× | 1% ±3 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 5% ±11 | 23% ±31 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 298 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,078.45 (+8.6%) | 9.7 | 1.4% | 6h | 2.9d ago · 70× | 7% ±6 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±6 | 19% ±16 | 38% ±30 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 411 → 10 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,063.53 (+8.1%) | 9.1 | 1.6% | 8h | 2.9d ago · 97× | 4% ±6 | 48% ±16 | 7% ±8 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 16% ±17 | 33% ±32 | > 7d | 1.94% | 2.05% | 317 → 8 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 3,027.17–3,029.66 (+6.8%) | 7.7 | 3.1% | 1.4d | 2.7d ago · 104× | 4% ±6 | 38% ±15 | 8% ±8 | 54% ±15 | 40 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 11% ±18 | 33% ±41 | > 7d | 1.91% | 1.67% | 203 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 2,918.31–3,086.92 (+2.9%) | 3.3 | 1.4% | 9h | 9.2d ago · 82× | 25% ±14 | 53% ±16 | 15% ±12 | 33% ±15 | 37 | 4% ±3 | 25% ±14 | 40% ±27 | 49% ±44 | > 7d | 2.06% | 2.04% | 227 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,905.5 (+2.5%) | 2.8 | 1.2% | 7h | 6.7d ago · 56× | 34% ±29 | 61% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 35% ±21 | 20 | 8% ±7 | 34% ±29 | 55% ±56 | 72% | 2.7d | 3.58% | 1.73% | 62 → 1 | |
| at post · 2,834.82 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,814.55–2,827.52 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 1.4% | 11h | 4.2d ago · 84× | 88% ±14 | 47% ±14 | 18% ±11 | 35% ±14 | 46 | 68% ±8 | 88% ±14 | 92% ±21 | 95% ±25 | 1h | 2.71% | 1.53% | 117 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,800.97 (-1.2%) | 1.4 | 1.2% | 9h | 2.5d ago · 59× | 58% ±21 | 40% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 50% ±19 | 27 | 31% ±8 | 58% ±21 | 65% ±35 | 69% ±52 | 14h | 2.21% | 2.29% | 132 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,697.82 (-4.8%) | 5.5 | 0.5% | 1h | 22.6d ago · 30× | 10% ±10 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±10 | 29% ±26 | 46% ±44 | > 7d | 3.29% | 1.41% | 210 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 2,834.82 | 2,676.8 | 3,029.66 | expired | +1.43% |