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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-04 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,253.18–3,273.94 (+2.7%) | 2.3 | 1.0% | 4h | 1.5d ago · 50× | 49% ±28 | 37% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 12% ±7 | 50% ±28 | 74% ±43 | 89% ±43 | 1.0d | 3.24% | 1.24% | 74 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 3,228.85–3,242.8 (+1.9%) | 1.7 | 1.7% | 9h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 51% ±20 | 45% ±15 | 8% ±9 | 47% ±15 | 40 | 22% ±7 | 52% ±20 | 71% ±31 | 83% ±37 | 23h | 2.02% | 2.13% | 149 → 4 | |
| at post · 3,167.16 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,972.92–3,097.48 (-2.2%) | 1.9 | 2.1% | 11h | 4.3d ago · 84× | 57% ±21 | 48% ±14 | 18% ±11 | 34% ±14 | 47 | 20% ±7 | 56% ±20 | 80% ±28 | 91% ±32 | 21h | 2.66% | 1.54% | 137 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAH | 3,016.33–3,030.01 (-4.3%) | 3.7 | 4.9% | 2.1d | 2.6d ago · 72× | 39% ±24 | 63% ±18 | 5% ±8 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 8% ±5 | 38% ±23 | 56% ±40 | 77% ±58 | 2.1d | 2.82% | 1.34% | 102 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 2,996.91 (-5.4%) | 4.6 | 3.7% | 1.5d | 2.6d ago · 106× | 25% ±15 | 54% ±14 | 2% ±4 | 44% ±14 | 49 | 3% ±2 | 25% ±15 | 42% ±31 | 70% ±45 | 3.9d | 2.36% | 1.61% | 183 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,916.13 (-7.9%) | 6.8 | 2.1% | 14h | 2.5d ago · 85× | 17% ±9 | 51% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 2% ±1 | 17% ±9 | 36% ±21 | 62% ±32 | 4.8d | 2.52% | 1.96% | 382 → 9 | |
| 14D POC | 2,827.46 (-10.7%) | 9.2 | 3.1% | 1.0d | 2.6d ago · 85× | 4% ±7 | 44% ±16 | 10% ±10 | 46% ±16 | 36 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 17% ±20 | 41% ±43 | > 7d | 2.05% | 2.01% | 226 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,706.7–2,713.42 (-14.3%) | 12 | 1.3% | 6h | 2.5d ago · 59× | 3% ±4 | 45% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 45% ±18 | 29 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 15% ±16 | 38% ±32 | > 7d | 2.57% | 2.01% | 367 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.