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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-05 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,242.8–3,305.08 (+7.3%) | 5.9 | 0.9% | 4h | 1.8d ago · 50× | 26% ±23 | 40% ±23 | 15% ±17 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 3% ±4 | 26% ±22 | 54% ±44 | 69% ±64 | 2.6d | 3.44% | 1.21% | 87 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 3,228.85–3,232.42 (+6.9%) | 5.6 | 1.5% | 8h | 3.2d ago · 97× | 19% ±10 | 46% ±15 | 8% ±8 | 46% ±15 | 41 | 2% ±2 | 19% ±10 | 35% ±21 | 52% ±33 | 6.4d | 2.03% | 2.03% | 365 → 9 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,196.36 (+5.8%) | 4.7 | 3.2% | 1.1d | 3.2d ago · 70× | 18% ±12 | 46% ±20 | 4% ±8 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 2% ±2 | 18% ±12 | 39% ±27 | 62% ±43 | 5.3d | 1.82% | 2.81% | 228 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 3,128.62–3,211.66 (+3.6%) | 2.9 | 2.7% | 17h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 35% ±16 | 52% ±16 | 14% ±11 | 33% ±15 | 39 | 9% ±4 | 35% ±15 | 50% ±28 | 59% ±43 | 3.5d | 2.06% | 2.59% | 219 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,027.39–3,030.01 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 5.5% | 2.2d | 3.0d ago · 79× | 90% ±16 | 28% ±16 | 10% ±11 | 62% ±17 | 30 | 83% ±8 | 90% ±16 | 94% ±23 | 95% ±31 | 1h | 1.79% | 1.74% | 76 → 2 | |
| at post · 3,020.83 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 2,996.91 (-0.8%) | 0.6 | 4.0% | 1.6d | 2.9d ago · 106× | 85% ±15 | 54% ±14 | 2% ±4 | 44% ±14 | 49 | 68% ±8 | 86% ±15 | 89% ±23 | 96% ±22 | 1h | 2.36% | 1.61% | 130 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,963.03 (-1.9%) | 1.5 | 2.0% | 11h | 2.8d ago · 85× | 53% ±19 | 51% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 32% ±7 | 53% ±19 | 68% ±31 | 73% ±43 | 16h | 2.52% | 1.96% | 161 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,842.33 (-5.9%) | 4.8 | 2.7% | 17h | 2.8d ago · 59× | 25% ±13 | 44% ±18 | 9% ±11 | 47% ±18 | 29 | 4% ±2 | 25% ±13 | 49% ±27 | 74% ±35 | 3.3d | 2.21% | 2.29% | 240 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 2,796.46–2,837.98 (-6.1%) | 4.9 | 3.0% | 20h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 37% ±20 | 49% ±14 | 18% ±11 | 33% ±13 | 48 | 7% ±4 | 37% ±20 | 67% ±33 | 77% ±48 | 1.5d | 2.71% | 1.58% | 135 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,754.94 (-8.8%) | 7.1 | 1.9% | 13h | 1.3d ago · 31× | 6% ±7 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 24% ±22 | 48% ±40 | > 7d | 3.29% | 1.41% | 250 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 3,020.83 | 2,842.33 | 3,196.36 | expired | -0.58% |
| 30d | POC | short | 3,020.83 | 2,754.94 | 3,232.42 | expired | -0.58% |