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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-06 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,253.18–3,367.36 (+7.1%) | 12 | 0.3% | 50m | 1.5d ago · 50× | 1% ±3 | 40% ±23 | 15% ±17 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 12% ±21 | 23% ±41 | > 7d | 3.44% | 1.21% | 155 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 3,228.85–3,232.42 (+6.3%) | 11 | 0.7% | 4h | 2.9d ago · 97× | 3% ±4 | 46% ±15 | 8% ±8 | 46% ±15 | 41 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 15% ±15 | 35% ±30 | > 7d | 2.03% | 2.03% | 406 → 10 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,197.57 (+5.2%) | 8.9 | 1.5% | 11h | 2.9d ago · 70× | 7% ±6 | 46% ±20 | 4% ±8 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±6 | 22% ±17 | 43% ±31 | > 7d | 1.82% | 2.81% | 431 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 3,128.62–3,211.66 (+3.0%) | 5.0 | 1.3% | 8h | 9.2d ago · 82× | 14% ±10 | 53% ±15 | 14% ±11 | 33% ±15 | 40 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±10 | 33% ±24 | 54% ±37 | 6.3d | 2.07% | 2.31% | 274 → 7 | |
| at post · 3,038.42 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 3,028.18–3,030.01 (-0.3%) | 0.5 | 3.1% | 1.5d | 2.6d ago · 106× | 85% ±15 | 51% ±14 | 8% ±8 | 41% ±14 | 50 | 70% ±8 | 85% ±15 | 90% ±23 | 94% ±26 | 1h | 2.27% | 1.49% | 132 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,952.61 (-2.8%) | 4.8 | 1.0% | 5h | 2.5d ago · 85× | 24% ±11 | 51% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 3% ±2 | 24% ±11 | 45% ±22 | 68% ±32 | 4.3d | 2.52% | 1.96% | 339 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,869.22 (-5.6%) | 9.5 | 0.8% | 3h | 2.5d ago · 59× | 9% ±7 | 44% ±18 | 9% ±11 | 47% ±18 | 29 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±7 | 31% ±21 | 56% ±34 | 5.6d | 2.21% | 2.29% | 349 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 2,796.46–2,837.98 (-6.6%) | 11 | 1.5% | 10h | 4.2d ago · 84× | 5% ±8 | 49% ±14 | 18% ±11 | 33% ±13 | 48 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±8 | 15% ±22 | 18% ±37 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.58% | 183 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,786.08 (-8.3%) | 14 | 0.9% | 5h | 22.6d ago · 30× | 2% ±4 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 11% ±13 | 31% ±30 | > 7d | 3.29% | 1.41% | 383 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 3,038.42 | 3,232.42 | 2,786.08 | expired | +3.34% |