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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-07 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,242.8–3,377.74 (+6.7%) | 8.4 | 0.3% | 2h | 1.6d ago · 50× | 14% ±16 | 40% ±23 | 15% ±17 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 1% ±2 | 13% ±15 | 34% ±38 | 52% ±57 | 6.8d | 3.44% | 1.21% | 114 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 3,222.04–3,228.85 (+6.0%) | 7.6 | 1.1% | 6h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 6% ±6 | 46% ±15 | 8% ±8 | 46% ±15 | 41 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±6 | 21% ±18 | 40% ±34 | > 7d | 2.03% | 2.03% | 355 → 8 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,176.73 (+4.5%) | 5.7 | 2.3% | 19h | 3.0d ago · 70× | 13% ±9 | 46% ±20 | 4% ±8 | 50% ±20 | 23 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±9 | 33% ±22 | 55% ±37 | 6.4d | 1.82% | 2.81% | 300 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 3,128.62–3,201.28 (+3.0%) | 3.7 | 1.8% | 11h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 23% ±13 | 53% ±15 | 14% ±11 | 33% ±15 | 40 | 5% ±3 | 23% ±13 | 40% ±26 | 52% ±40 | 6.5d | 2.07% | 2.31% | 256 → 6 | |
| at post · 3,038.51 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 3,028.18–3,030.01 (-0.3%) | 0.4 | 4.5% | 2.2d | 2.7d ago · 106× | 85% ±16 | 51% ±14 | 8% ±8 | 41% ±14 | 50 | 72% ±8 | 86% ±15 | 91% ±21 | 94% ±26 | 1h | 2.27% | 1.49% | 125 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,947.4 (-3.0%) | 3.8 | 1.4% | 7h | 2.6d ago · 85× | 33% ±13 | 51% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 8% ±3 | 34% ±13 | 55% ±24 | 73% ±33 | 2.2d | 2.52% | 1.96% | 293 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,884.85 (-5.1%) | 6.3 | 1.0% | 5h | 2.6d ago · 59× | 15% ±10 | 44% ±18 | 9% ±11 | 47% ±18 | 29 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±10 | 42% ±23 | 72% ±33 | 3.9d | 2.21% | 2.29% | 312 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 2,796.46–2,837.98 (-6.6%) | 8.3 | 2.0% | 14h | 4.3d ago · 84× | 9% ±11 | 49% ±14 | 18% ±11 | 33% ±13 | 48 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±11 | 26% ±27 | 31% ±45 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.58% | 171 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,796.46 (-8.0%) | 10.0 | 1.6% | 13h | 22.7d ago · 30× | 3% ±4 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 18% ±17 | 41% ±34 | > 7d | 3.29% | 1.41% | 342 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 3,038.51 | 3,028.18 | 2,896.74 | target | +2.24% |
| 14d | POC | long | 3,038.51 | 3,176.73 | 2,884.85 | target | +2.24% |
| 30d | POC | long | 3,038.51 | 3,222.04 | 2,796.46 | expired | +2.24% |