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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-11 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,252.45–3,301.1 (+1.2%) | 0.9 | 0.7% | 3h | 1.5d ago · 50× | 67% ±28 | 38% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 43% ±12 | 68% ±28 | 84% ±36 | 96% ±28 | 9h | 3.24% | 1.24% | 66 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 3,223.26–3,229.17 (+0.3%) | 0.2 | 1.9% | 11h | 2.9d ago · 97× | 81% ±19 | 45% ±15 | 7% ±8 | 48% ±15 | 42 | 66% ±10 | 81% ±19 | 88% ±28 | 90% ±42 | 2h | 1.89% | 2.36% | 94 → 2 | |
| at post · 3,212.91 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,989.74–3,203.8 (-0.3%) | 0.2 | 3.4% | 1.0d | 4.2d ago · 84× | 88% ±15 | 49% ±14 | 18% ±11 | 33% ±13 | 48 | 70% ±8 | 88% ±15 | 91% ±22 | 96% ±23 | 1h | 2.71% | 1.58% | 114 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 3,128.83 (-2.6%) | 2.0 | 4.8% | 1.5d | 2.6d ago · 106× | 57% ±21 | 54% ±13 | 4% ±5 | 43% ±13 | 53 | 23% ±7 | 57% ±21 | 69% ±34 | 88% ±37 | 17h | 2.70% | 1.25% | 124 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,023.8–3,027.49 (-5.8%) | 4.4 | 7.3% | 3.4d | 2.6d ago · 85× | 30% ±17 | 50% ±16 | 11% ±10 | 40% ±15 | 39 | 6% ±4 | 30% ±17 | 51% ±33 | 73% ±43 | 3.2d | 2.51% | 1.53% | 167 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,990.53 (-6.9%) | 5.3 | 4.0% | 1.4d | 2.5d ago · 85× | 22% ±10 | 52% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 36% ±15 | 39 | 3% ±2 | 22% ±10 | 44% ±22 | 66% ±31 | 4.3d | 2.52% | 1.80% | 365 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,936.49 (-8.6%) | 6.6 | 2.5% | 15h | 2.5d ago · 59× | 13% ±9 | 44% ±18 | 9% ±11 | 47% ±18 | 29 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±9 | 39% ±22 | 69% ±32 | 4.2d | 2.21% | 2.29% | 337 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,814.6 (-12.4%) | 9.5 | 3.6% | 1.2d | 22.6d ago · 30× | 3% ±4 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 17% ±17 | 40% ±32 | > 7d | 3.29% | 1.41% | 360 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.