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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-12 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,258.38–3,297.07 (+2.2%) | 2.1 | 0.6% | 2h | 1.7d ago · 50× | 44% ±27 | 41% ±22 | 18% ±17 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 13% ±7 | 47% ±26 | 71% ±40 | 92% ±38 | 1.0d | 3.44% | 1.26% | 83 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 3,249.55–3,250.87 (+1.9%) | 1.8 | 0.7% | 3h | 3.1d ago · 97× | 53% ±18 | 47% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 48% ±15 | 42 | 26% ±6 | 53% ±18 | 68% ±29 | 80% ±39 | 21h | 1.88% | 2.41% | 178 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,229.36 (+1.3%) | 1.2 | 1.5% | 9h | 21.2d ago · 44× | 64% ±31 | 38% ±26 | 13% ±18 | 50% ±27 | 13 | 40% ±13 | 67% ±29 | 77% ±48 | 88% | 8h | 1.95% | 2.06% | 58 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,187.61 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 3,123.41 (-2.0%) | 1.9 | 4.0% | 1.2d | 2.8d ago · 106× | 59% ±21 | 54% ±13 | 4% ±5 | 43% ±13 | 53 | 24% ±7 | 58% ±20 | 71% ±32 | 89% ±36 | 16h | 2.70% | 1.25% | 136 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 3,027.49–3,031.08 (-4.9%) | 4.6 | 6.1% | 3.0d | 2.8d ago · 85× | 29% ±17 | 50% ±16 | 11% ±10 | 40% ±15 | 39 | 6% ±3 | 28% ±16 | 50% ±31 | 72% ±44 | 3.4d | 2.51% | 1.53% | 176 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,995.95 (-6.0%) | 5.6 | 3.8% | 1.4d | 2.7d ago · 85× | 20% ±10 | 52% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 36% ±15 | 39 | 3% ±2 | 20% ±10 | 42% ±21 | 64% ±31 | 4.5d | 2.52% | 1.80% | 376 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,965.61 (-7.0%) | 6.5 | 1.9% | 10h | 2.7d ago · 59× | 14% ±9 | 44% ±18 | 9% ±11 | 47% ±18 | 29 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±9 | 39% ±22 | 68% ±32 | 4.3d | 2.21% | 2.29% | 341 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,832.79 (-11.1%) | 10 | 2.9% | 21h | 1.2d ago · 31× | 3% ±4 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 16% ±16 | 38% ±32 | > 7d | 3.29% | 1.41% | 377 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 2,813.45–2,832.79 (-11.1%) | 10 | 2.9% | 21h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 5% ±8 | 49% ±14 | 18% ±11 | 33% ±13 | 48 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±8 | 16% ±22 | 19% ±35 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.58% | 204 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 3,187.61 | 3,031.08 | 3,300.74 | expired | +3.22% |