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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-12 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,433 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,262.6–3,300.4 (+6.3%) | 5.2 | 0.7% | 4h | 1.3d ago · 50× | 32% ±23 | 41% ±22 | 18% ±17 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 4% ±4 | 32% ±23 | 55% ±44 | 80% ±56 | 2.6d | 3.44% | 1.26% | 97 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 3,253.15–3,267.14 (+6.0%) | 4.9 | 1.1% | 10h | 2.7d ago · 97× | 21% ±10 | 45% ±15 | 8% ±8 | 48% ±15 | 42 | 2% ±2 | 21% ±10 | 38% ±21 | 58% ±32 | 4.8d | 1.94% | 2.34% | 371 → 9 | |
| 7D POC | 3,123.41 (+1.8%) | 1.5 | 4.5% | 1.4d | 2.5d ago · 104× | 70% ±19 | 50% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 46% ±15 | 43 | 39% ±8 | 70% ±19 | 76% ±30 | 82% ±43 | 8h | 2.17% | 1.63% | 140 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,067.89 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 3,027.49–3,031.08 (-1.2%) | 1.0 | 6.7% | 3.2d | 2.3d ago · 85× | 80% ±17 | 50% ±16 | 11% ±10 | 40% ±15 | 39 | 65% ±8 | 80% ±17 | 88% ±24 | 92% ±31 | 2h | 2.51% | 1.53% | 134 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,006.8 (-2.0%) | 1.6 | 4.8% | 1.8d | 2.3d ago · 85× | 48% ±19 | 52% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 36% ±15 | 39 | 28% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 66% ±31 | 73% ±43 | 1.1d | 2.52% | 1.80% | 168 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,972.89 (-3.1%) | 2.5 | 2.1% | 11h | 2.3d ago · 59× | 43% ±18 | 44% ±18 | 9% ±11 | 47% ±18 | 29 | 11% ±5 | 43% ±18 | 55% ±32 | 65% ±47 | 2.3d | 2.21% | 2.29% | 165 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,856.25 (-6.9%) | 5.6 | 1.9% | 8h | 22.4d ago · 30× | 9% ±9 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±9 | 26% ±24 | 44% ±40 | > 7d | 3.29% | 1.41% | 235 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 2,809–2,818.45 (-8.1%) | 6.6 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 4.0d ago · 84× | 18% ±14 | 48% ±14 | 19% ±11 | 33% ±13 | 49 | 3% ±2 | 18% ±14 | 39% ±30 | 46% ±49 | > 7d | 2.66% | 1.62% | 172 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.