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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-14 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,434 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.27 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 3,272.56 (+5.2%) | 11 | 0.1% | 26m | 2.8d ago · 97× | 4% ±5 | 48% ±15 | 7% ±7 | 46% ±15 | 43 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 18% ±18 | 35% ±35 | > 7d | 1.94% | 2.05% | 305 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,256.83 (+4.7%) | 9.7 | 0.3% | 2h | 2.8d ago · 70× | 7% ±6 | 48% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±6 | 22% ±17 | 43% ±31 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 439 → 10 | |
| LVN zone | 3,256.11–3,305.68 (+4.7%) | 9.7 | 0.3% | 2h | 1.3d ago · 50× | 6% ±9 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±9 | 26% ±30 | 42% ±56 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 145 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,231.33 (+3.9%) | 8.0 | 0.5% | 4h | 20.8d ago · 44× | 4% ±5 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 21% ±18 | 44% ±32 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 363 → 9 | |
| 14D POC | 3,122.14 (+0.4%) | 0.8 | 2.1% | 18h | 2.6d ago · 79× | 87% ±16 | 26% ±16 | 9% ±10 | 65% ±17 | 31 | 69% ±9 | 88% ±15 | 90% ±24 | 92% ±31 | 1h | 2.02% | 1.80% | 111 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 3,112.56 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.1% | 20h | 2.6d ago · 104× | 92% ±12 | 50% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 46% ±15 | 43 | 81% ±7 | 92% ±12 | 94% ±17 | 96% ±22 | 1h | 2.17% | 1.63% | 125 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,109.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 3,028.93 (-2.6%) | 5.3 | 3.0% | 1.4d | 2.4d ago · 72× | 26% ±16 | 60% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 31% ±16 | 32 | 3% ±3 | 25% ±16 | 48% ±31 | 80% ±39 | 3.4d | 2.86% | 1.00% | 172 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,017.65 (-3.0%) | 6.1 | 2.4% | 21h | 2.3d ago · 85× | 19% ±9 | 52% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 36% ±15 | 39 | 3% ±2 | 18% ±9 | 40% ±20 | 63% ±32 | 4.6d | 2.52% | 1.80% | 397 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,972.89 (-4.4%) | 9.0 | 0.9% | 4h | 2.3d ago · 59× | 8% ±7 | 44% ±18 | 9% ±11 | 47% ±18 | 29 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±7 | 29% ±19 | 52% ±33 | 6.5d | 2.21% | 2.29% | 393 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,876.1 (-7.5%) | 15 | 0.6% | 2h | 22.5d ago · 30× | 2% ±3 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 8% ±11 | 24% ±26 | > 7d | 3.29% | 1.41% | 402 → 10 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 3,109.7 | 3,017.65 | 3,272.56 | expired | -0.92% |