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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-15 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,433 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,256.11–3,305.68 (+4.3%) | 4.8 | 0.5% | 4h | 1.3d ago · 50× | 33% ±22 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 6% ±4 | 33% ±22 | 55% ±40 | 82% ±44 | 2.6d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 106 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 3,249.55–3,259.73 (+4.1%) | 4.6 | 0.8% | 8h | 2.7d ago · 97× | 23% ±10 | 48% ±15 | 5% ±7 | 47% ±15 | 43 | 3% ±2 | 23% ±10 | 40% ±21 | 60% ±32 | 4.5d | 1.96% | 2.21% | 372 → 9 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,231.33 (+3.5%) | 3.9 | 0.9% | 7h | 20.8d ago · 44× | 30% ±18 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 5% ±3 | 30% ±18 | 50% ±35 | 68% ±53 | 3.1d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 144 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 3,181.76–3,190.02 (+1.9%) | 2.1 | 2.5% | 20h | 9.0d ago · 82× | 43% ±18 | 55% ±15 | 14% ±11 | 32% ±14 | 41 | 12% ±5 | 43% ±18 | 58% ±31 | 63% ±47 | 1.4d | 2.09% | 2.04% | 180 → 4 | |
| at post · 3,122.38 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 3,113.59–3,114.86 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 3.8% | 1.6d | 2.3d ago · 106× | 87% ±15 | 49% ±13 | 7% ±7 | 44% ±13 | 54 | 74% ±8 | 87% ±15 | 92% ±20 | 96% ±23 | 1h | 2.42% | 1.64% | 124 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,056.4 (-2.1%) | 2.4 | 3.6% | 24h | 2.3d ago · 85× | 39% ±17 | 52% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 36% ±15 | 39 | 15% ±5 | 40% ±17 | 61% ±29 | 71% ±40 | 1.4d | 2.52% | 1.80% | 198 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 3,028.93 (-3.0%) | 3.4 | 5.5% | 2.4d | 2.3d ago · 72× | 46% ±22 | 60% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 31% ±16 | 32 | 11% ±5 | 48% ±21 | 69% ±34 | 87% ±38 | 1.2d | 2.86% | 1.00% | 126 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,994.73 (-4.1%) | 4.6 | 3.3% | 1.2d | 2.3d ago · 59× | 24% ±13 | 44% ±18 | 9% ±11 | 47% ±18 | 29 | 4% ±2 | 24% ±13 | 44% ±26 | 67% ±38 | 4.0d | 2.21% | 2.29% | 257 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,867.84 (-8.2%) | 9.1 | 1.2% | 4h | 22.4d ago · 30× | 3% ±5 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 17% ±17 | 38% ±32 | > 7d | 3.29% | 1.41% | 364 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 2,810.01–2,834.79 (-9.2%) | 10 | 2.5% | 17h | 4.0d ago · 84× | 5% ±7 | 48% ±14 | 20% ±11 | 31% ±13 | 51 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±7 | 16% ±21 | 19% ±34 | > 7d | 2.42% | 1.62% | 211 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 3,122.38 | 3,259.73 | 3,056.4 | stop | -6.58% |
| 14d | POC | long | 3,122.38 | 3,249.55 | 2,994.73 | stop | -6.58% |