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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-15 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,434 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.27 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 3,273.39 (+9.6%) | 8.3 | 0.3% | 53m | 2.8d ago · 97× | 5% ±6 | 48% ±15 | 7% ±7 | 46% ±15 | 43 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 22% ±18 | 39% ±32 | > 7d | 1.94% | 2.05% | 372 → 9 | |
| LVN zone | 3,256.11–3,305.68 (+9.0%) | 7.8 | 0.7% | 6h | 1.4d ago · 50× | 17% ±17 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 17% ±16 | 38% ±36 | 60% ±55 | 5.4d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 125 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 3,214.72–3,231.33 (+7.6%) | 6.6 | 1.8% | 13h | 2.8d ago · 70× | 8% ±7 | 44% ±19 | 8% ±11 | 48% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±7 | 26% ±18 | 49% ±33 | 6.7d | 2.07% | 2.30% | 391 → 9 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 3,112.66–3,117.1 (+4.2%) | 3.6 | 4.8% | 2.0d | 2.6d ago · 104× | 18% ±14 | 42% ±14 | 7% ±8 | 51% ±15 | 45 | 4% ±3 | 18% ±14 | 29% ±30 | 44% ±49 | > 7d | 2.11% | 1.67% | 160 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D POC | 3,028.69–3,028.93 (+1.4%) | 1.2 | 6.8% | 2.9d | 2.6d ago · 67× | 77% ±23 | 42% ±19 | 12% ±13 | 46% ±20 | 25 | 59% ±11 | 77% ±23 | 86% ±34 | 88% ±44 | 3h | 2.32% | 1.66% | 79 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,990.55 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.8% | 1.3d | 22.4d ago · 46× | 92% ±22 | 38% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 54% ±21 | 21 | 82% ±13 | 92% ±22 | 97% ±22 | 97% | 1h | 3.10% | 2.63% | 36 → 1 | |
| at post · 2,987.49 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 2,876.1 (-3.7%) | 3.2 | 1.4% | 6h | 22.5d ago · 30× | 24% ±19 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 6% ±4 | 24% ±19 | 33% ±35 | 45% ±56 | > 7d | 3.29% | 1.41% | 122 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 2,810.01–2,834.79 (-5.1%) | 4.4 | 3.0% | 21h | 4.1d ago · 84× | 41% ±19 | 48% ±14 | 20% ±11 | 31% ±13 | 51 | 8% ±4 | 41% ±19 | 69% ±30 | 80% ±39 | 1.3d | 2.42% | 1.62% | 163 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 2,987.49 | 2,763.32 | 3,117.1 | expired | +1.69% |