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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-17 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,433 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,256.11–3,305.68 (+11.3%) | 10 | 0.6% | 5h | 1.3d ago · 50× | 3% ±7 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 19% ±26 | 34% ±46 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 167 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,250.24 (+11.1%) | 10 | 0.8% | 8h | 2.7d ago · 70× | 6% ±6 | 48% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 20% ±16 | 40% ±29 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 452 → 11 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,214.81 (+9.9%) | 9.2 | 1.3% | 8h | 20.8d ago · 44× | 3% ±4 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 18% ±16 | 41% ±30 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 409 → 10 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,198.39 (+9.4%) | 8.6 | 2.1% | 18h | 2.7d ago · 97× | 5% ±5 | 48% ±15 | 7% ±7 | 46% ±15 | 43 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±5 | 20% ±17 | 38% ±32 | > 7d | 1.94% | 2.05% | 378 → 9 | |
| 14D POC | 3,114.85 (+6.5%) | 6.0 | 4.1% | 1.8d | 2.5d ago · 79× | 6% ±9 | 31% ±16 | 8% ±9 | 61% ±17 | 33 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±9 | 12% ±20 | 22% ±40 | > 7d | 2.02% | 1.79% | 181 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 3,028.93 (+3.6%) | 3.3 | 6.2% | 2.7d | 2.5d ago · 67× | 23% ±19 | 29% ±18 | 18% ±15 | 54% ±20 | 25 | 6% ±4 | 22% ±19 | 41% ±39 | 57% ±56 | 6.4d | 1.41% | 1.59% | 112 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,008.27 (+2.9%) | 2.6 | 4.5% | 1.5d | 22.3d ago · 46× | 42% ±31 | 40% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 52% ±21 | 22 | 9% ±7 | 43% ±29 | 70% ±45 | 76% ±60 | 1.4d | 3.15% | 2.55% | 64 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 2,983.49–3,140.46 (+2.0%) | 1.9 | 2.8% | 17h | 9.0d ago · 82× | 48% ±18 | 56% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 31% ±14 | 42 | 16% ±5 | 49% ±18 | 63% ±30 | 67% ±46 | 1.1d | 2.11% | 1.99% | 181 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 2,936.25 (+0.4%) | 0.4 | 3.5% | 1.0d | 2.5d ago · 104× | 91% ±11 | 50% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 45 | 74% ±7 | 91% ±11 | 93% ±18 | 96% ±23 | 1h | 2.17% | 1.59% | 142 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,924.43 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2,887.28 (-1.3%) | 1.2 | 1.6% | 7h | 2.3d ago · 85× | 58% ±19 | 53% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 35% ±15 | 40 | 43% ±8 | 59% ±19 | 76% ±28 | 80% ±40 | 6h | 2.57% | 1.96% | 159 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,859.57 (-2.2%) | 2.0 | 1.6% | 6h | 22.4d ago · 30× | 46% ±29 | 50% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 16% ±9 | 44% ±28 | 47% ±49 | 60% ±68 | 4.7d | 3.45% | 1.27% | 71 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 2,818.27–2,826.53 (-3.3%) | 3.1 | 2.9% | 21h | 4.0d ago · 84× | 50% ±19 | 48% ±14 | 20% ±11 | 31% ±13 | 51 | 12% ±5 | 49% ±19 | 77% ±27 | 88% ±31 | 1.0d | 2.42% | 1.62% | 170 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 2,924.43 | 2,887.28 | 3,198.39 | target | +2.87% |