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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-17 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,434 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.27 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,256.11–3,305.68 (+13.7%) | 11 | 0.7% | 6h | 1.4d ago · 50× | 3% ±6 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 17% ±23 | 31% ±45 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 177 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,255.95 (+13.7%) | 11 | 0.7% | 6h | 2.8d ago · 70× | 5% ±5 | 48% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±5 | 18% ±15 | 38% ±29 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 450 → 11 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,206.55 (+12.0%) | 9.6 | 1.7% | 13h | 20.9d ago · 44× | 3% ±4 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 17% ±16 | 41% ±30 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 421 → 10 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,176.2 (+11.0%) | 8.7 | 2.0% | 13h | 2.8d ago · 97× | 5% ±5 | 48% ±15 | 7% ±7 | 46% ±15 | 43 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±5 | 20% ±17 | 38% ±32 | > 7d | 1.94% | 2.05% | 375 → 9 | |
| 14D POC | 3,124.06 (+9.1%) | 7.3 | 4.1% | 1.6d | 2.6d ago · 79× | 5% ±7 | 31% ±16 | 8% ±9 | 61% ±17 | 33 | 0% ±1 | 5% ±7 | 10% ±17 | 21% ±36 | > 7d | 2.02% | 1.79% | 209 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 3,028.93 (+5.8%) | 4.6 | 7.0% | 3.0d | 2.6d ago · 67× | 13% ±13 | 29% ±18 | 18% ±15 | 54% ±20 | 25 | 3% ±2 | 16% ±14 | 29% ±30 | 51% ±49 | 6.9d | 1.41% | 1.59% | 155 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,961.49 (+3.5%) | 2.7 | 3.4% | 20h | 22.4d ago · 46× | 42% ±31 | 40% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 52% ±21 | 22 | 10% ±7 | 47% ±29 | 74% ±43 | 79% ±57 | 1.2d | 3.15% | 2.55% | 68 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 2,933.89 (+2.5%) | 2.0 | 4.3% | 1.3d | 2.6d ago · 104× | 54% ±21 | 50% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 45 | 19% ±7 | 54% ±21 | 62% ±36 | 71% ±52 | 16h | 2.17% | 1.59% | 124 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 2,909.14–2,966.97 (+1.6%) | 1.3 | 3.2% | 15h | 9.1d ago · 82× | 62% ±17 | 57% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 30% ±14 | 43 | 34% ±7 | 64% ±17 | 76% ±25 | 79% ±36 | 10h | 2.13% | 1.94% | 190 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,881.75 (+0.7%) | 0.5 | 1.8% | 7h | 6.6d ago · 56× | 88% ±22 | 60% ±20 | 4% ±8 | 36% ±20 | 22 | 73% ±12 | 88% ±22 | 92% ±30 | 94% | 1h | 3.58% | 1.73% | 50 → 1 | |
| at post · 2,862.68 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 2,851.31 (-0.4%) | 0.3 | 2.3% | 10h | 22.5d ago · 30× | 86% ±28 | 50% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 67% ±16 | 86% ±28 | 86% ±48 | 89% | 2h | 3.45% | 1.27% | 34 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 2,862.68 | 2,568.22 | 2,933.89 | stop | -2.79% |