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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-19 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,434 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.27 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,256.11–3,305.68 (+11.5%) | 8.0 | 0.8% | 7h | 1.3d ago · 50× | 12% ±13 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 12% ±13 | 31% ±32 | 54% ±56 | 6.5d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 141 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,217.25 (+10.2%) | 7.1 | 1.5% | 9h | 2.7d ago · 70× | 9% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±7 | 27% ±18 | 49% ±31 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 427 → 10 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,165.24 (+8.4%) | 5.9 | 2.3% | 15h | 20.8d ago · 44× | 10% ±9 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 10% ±9 | 27% ±23 | 49% ±40 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 255 → 6 | |
| 14D POC | 3,112.91 (+6.6%) | 4.6 | 4.3% | 2.0d | 2.6d ago · 79× | 8% ±12 | 31% ±16 | 8% ±9 | 61% ±17 | 33 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±11 | 17% ±28 | 27% ±50 | > 7d | 2.02% | 1.79% | 132 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,067.29 (+5.0%) | 3.5 | 3.9% | 22h | 2.8d ago · 97× | 36% ±13 | 48% ±15 | 7% ±7 | 46% ±15 | 43 | 6% ±3 | 36% ±13 | 54% ±24 | 71% ±34 | 2.1d | 1.94% | 2.05% | 313 → 7 | |
| 30D POC | 3,028.93 (+3.7%) | 2.6 | 7.0% | 3.3d | 2.6d ago · 67× | 32% ±24 | 31% ±18 | 17% ±15 | 52% ±19 | 26 | 10% ±6 | 32% ±24 | 55% ±44 | 67% ±65 | 1.9d | 1.50% | 1.43% | 92 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 2,991.75–3,066.1 (+2.5%) | 1.7 | 4.3% | 1.4d | 9.1d ago · 82× | 53% ±18 | 57% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 30% ±14 | 44 | 21% ±6 | 55% ±17 | 67% ±28 | 71% ±40 | 17h | 2.14% | 1.91% | 195 → 5 | |
| 7D POC | 2,932.39 (+0.4%) | 0.3 | 5.7% | 1.5d | 2.6d ago · 104× | 92% ±11 | 49% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 45% ±14 | 46 | 77% ±7 | 92% ±11 | 94% ±16 | 96% ±21 | 1h | 2.20% | 1.61% | 139 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,920.05 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 2,907.6 (-0.4%) | 0.3 | 4.0% | 18h | 2.3d ago · 59× | 78% ±23 | 42% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 62% ±11 | 78% ±23 | 82% ±37 | 85% ±49 | 2h | 2.19% | 2.45% | 72 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 2,801.75–2,843.05 (-2.6%) | 1.8 | 4.2% | 1.1d | 4.1d ago · 84× | 61% ±19 | 46% ±13 | 20% ±11 | 34% ±13 | 53 | 21% ±6 | 61% ±19 | 83% ±25 | 93% ±25 | 17h | 2.42% | 1.62% | 153 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,818.27 (-3.5%) | 2.4 | 5.0% | 1.7d | 22.4d ago · 30× | 36% ±24 | 47% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 10% ±6 | 37% ±24 | 47% ±44 | 56% ±69 | 4.9d | 3.72% | 1.41% | 96 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,787.69 (-4.5%) | 3.2 | 2.6% | 16h | 2.3d ago · 85× | 35% ±14 | 53% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 33% ±14 | 42 | 10% ±4 | 36% ±14 | 57% ±25 | 70% ±37 | 2.0d | 2.57% | 1.96% | 268 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 2,920.05 | 3,112.91 | 2,851.86 | expired | +2.15% |