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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-20 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,433 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,256.11–3,305.68 (+9.2%) | 10 | 0.5% | 4h | 1.3d ago · 50× | 3% ±7 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 19% ±24 | 34% ±47 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 181 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 3,203.79–3,206.55 (+7.4%) | 8.2 | 1.4% | 11h | 2.7d ago · 70× | 6% ±5 | 44% ±19 | 8% ±11 | 48% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 21% ±16 | 44% ±29 | > 7d | 2.07% | 2.30% | 471 → 11 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D POC | 3,019.43–3,028.93 (+1.2%) | 1.4 | 3.7% | 1.4d | 2.5d ago · 97× | 56% ±19 | 41% ±15 | 11% ±9 | 48% ±15 | 43 | 30% ±7 | 55% ±18 | 76% ±28 | 86% ±34 | 17h | 1.77% | 1.82% | 168 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 2,983.49–3,057.84 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.5% | 19h | 9.0d ago · 82× | 86% ±19 | 56% ±14 | 13% ±10 | 31% ±14 | 45 | 78% ±9 | 87% ±18 | 94% ±21 | 95% ±30 | 1h | 2.13% | 1.94% | 81 → 2 | |
| at post · 2,982.96 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,909.14–2,975.23 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 2.3% | 14h | 4.0d ago · 84× | 88% ±13 | 46% ±13 | 19% ±11 | 35% ±13 | 54 | 67% ±8 | 88% ±13 | 91% ±20 | 96% ±23 | 1h | 2.54% | 1.63% | 136 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,940.64–2,944.62 (-1.3%) | 1.4 | 3.6% | 1.0d | 2.3d ago · 106× | 67% ±18 | 49% ±13 | 7% ±7 | 44% ±13 | 56 | 41% ±8 | 66% ±18 | 79% ±27 | 92% ±27 | 7h | 2.37% | 1.82% | 155 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,887.41 (-3.2%) | 3.6 | 1.5% | 6h | 2.3d ago · 59× | 32% ±15 | 41% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 50% ±18 | 31 | 7% ±3 | 32% ±15 | 51% ±28 | 69% ±41 | 2.9d | 2.21% | 2.60% | 215 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 2,821.45–2,834.79 (-5.0%) | 5.5 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 2.3d ago · 85× | 16% ±9 | 52% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 36% ±14 | 43 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±9 | 36% ±20 | 58% ±31 | 4.3d | 3.00% | 1.73% | 409 → 10 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.