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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-22 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,433 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,256.83–3,307.79 (+7.1%) | 8.3 | 0.5% | 4h | 1.3d ago · 50× | 11% ±12 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±12 | 28% ±29 | 46% ±49 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 163 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,217.25 (+5.8%) | 6.7 | 1.0% | 5h | 2.7d ago · 70× | 9% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±7 | 26% ±18 | 48% ±31 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 422 → 10 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,198.58 (+5.1%) | 6.0 | 1.8% | 13h | 20.8d ago · 44× | 10% ±9 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 10% ±8 | 25% ±22 | 45% ±37 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 274 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 3,111.22–3,125.78 (+2.3%) | 2.7 | 3.0% | 1.3d | 9.0d ago · 82× | 42% ±15 | 55% ±14 | 14% ±10 | 31% ±13 | 46 | 12% ±4 | 42% ±15 | 57% ±27 | 65% ±38 | 1.5d | 2.11% | 1.91% | 236 → 6 | |
| at post · 3,042.02 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 3,027.49 (-0.5%) | 0.6 | 4.8% | 2.1d | 2.3d ago · 72× | 82% ±20 | 61% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 31% ±16 | 33 | 72% ±9 | 82% ±19 | 88% ±28 | 92% ±38 | 1h | 2.86% | 1.03% | 93 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,007.84 (-1.1%) | 1.3 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 2.7d ago · 65× | 82% ±23 | 43% ±19 | 4% ±7 | 54% ±20 | 25 | 51% ±12 | 82% ±23 | 87% ±33 | 88% ±45 | 4h | 2.46% | 1.97% | 66 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,944.62–2,948.36 (-3.1%) | 3.6 | 3.9% | 1.0d | 2.3d ago · 106× | 36% ±16 | 49% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 42% ±13 | 58 | 8% ±4 | 35% ±16 | 56% ±28 | 79% ±36 | 2.1d | 2.44% | 1.62% | 210 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 2,873.63–2,887.41 (-5.1%) | 5.9 | 1.4% | 5h | 2.3d ago · 85× | 14% ±8 | 48% ±15 | 11% ±9 | 41% ±15 | 43 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±8 | 35% ±19 | 62% ±30 | 4.3d | 2.73% | 2.02% | 428 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 2,812.72–2,834.56 (-6.8%) | 8.0 | 3.1% | 24h | 4.0d ago · 84× | 11% ±10 | 45% ±13 | 21% ±11 | 34% ±13 | 55 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±10 | 28% ±27 | 36% ±42 | > 7d | 2.42% | 1.62% | 203 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.