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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-23 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,256.83–3,307.79 (+7.6%) | 8.4 | 0.6% | 4h | 1.5d ago · 50× | 10% ±11 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±11 | 27% ±29 | 45% ±49 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 169 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,217.25 (+6.3%) | 7.0 | 1.1% | 5h | 3.0d ago · 70× | 9% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±6 | 26% ±18 | 47% ±31 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 436 → 10 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,198.58 (+5.7%) | 6.3 | 1.9% | 14h | 21.0d ago · 44× | 9% ±8 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 9% ±8 | 24% ±21 | 44% ±37 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 293 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 3,111.22–3,125.78 (+2.8%) | 3.1 | 3.2% | 1.4d | 9.3d ago · 82× | 36% ±15 | 55% ±14 | 14% ±10 | 31% ±13 | 46 | 8% ±3 | 35% ±14 | 51% ±26 | 61% ±39 | 2.4d | 2.11% | 1.91% | 253 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 3,027.49 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 5.1% | 2.2d | 2.8d ago · 67× | 91% ±17 | 33% ±18 | 17% ±14 | 50% ±19 | 27 | 87% ±8 | 91% ±17 | 96% ±20 | 96% ±28 | 1h | 1.58% | 1.27% | 66 → 2 | |
| at post · 3,026.99 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 3,026.14 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 5.0% | 2.1d | 3.0d ago · 65× | 84% ±32 | 43% ±19 | 4% ±7 | 54% ±20 | 25 | 79% ±14 | 85% ±31 | 85% ±49 | 85% | 1h | 2.46% | 1.97% | 32 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 2,975.81 (-1.7%) | 1.9 | 3.5% | 1.7d | 2.6d ago · 106× | 57% ±19 | 52% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 43% ±13 | 58 | 23% ±7 | 57% ±19 | 74% ±31 | 91% ±28 | 18h | 2.55% | 1.43% | 148 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 2,944.62 (-2.7%) | 3.0 | 4.0% | 1.1d | 2.6d ago · 85× | 40% ±20 | 44% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 42% ±15 | 42 | 13% ±6 | 39% ±20 | 57% ±34 | 79% ±46 | 1.8d | 2.29% | 1.89% | 143 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 2,882.78–2,887.41 (-4.6%) | 5.1 | 1.5% | 5h | 2.5d ago · 85× | 19% ±9 | 48% ±15 | 11% ±9 | 41% ±15 | 43 | 3% ±2 | 19% ±9 | 39% ±20 | 63% ±30 | 4.1d | 2.73% | 2.02% | 401 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 2,812.72–2,834.56 (-6.4%) | 7.0 | 3.3% | 1.0d | 4.3d ago · 84× | 15% ±12 | 45% ±13 | 21% ±11 | 34% ±13 | 55 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±12 | 32% ±28 | 42% ±43 | > 7d | 2.42% | 1.62% | 193 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 3,026.99 | 3,170.35 | 2,975.81 | stop | -1.83% |