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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-26 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,256.83–3,307.79 (+12.2%) | 22 | 0.3% | 2h | 1.5d ago · 50× | 0% ±2 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 3% ±9 | 8% ±22 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 231 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,162.18 (+8.9%) | 16 | 1.0% | 6h | 21.0d ago · 44× | 1% ±2 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±11 | 27% ±26 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 452 → 11 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,077.89 (+6.0%) | 11 | 1.7% | 9h | 2.9d ago · 70× | 5% ±5 | 48% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±5 | 16% ±14 | 35% ±27 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 494 → 12 | |
| 30D POC | 3,027.49 (+4.3%) | 7.8 | 3.2% | 1.4d | 2.8d ago · 67× | 9% ±9 | 38% ±18 | 16% ±13 | 47% ±18 | 29 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±9 | 17% ±20 | 41% ±39 | > 7d | 1.91% | 1.27% | 232 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,996.44 (+3.2%) | 5.9 | 2.4% | 21h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 19% ±9 | 50% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 45 | 2% ±1 | 19% ±9 | 33% ±19 | 51% ±31 | 6.8d | 1.94% | 1.94% | 408 → 10 | |
| 7D POC | 2,976.05 (+2.5%) | 4.6 | 2.3% | 1.2d | 2.8d ago · 104× | 13% ±12 | 51% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 43% ±14 | 48 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±12 | 24% ±26 | 46% ±49 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.61% | 182 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 2,947.56 (+1.5%) | 2.8 | 3.0% | 1.0d | 2.8d ago · 79× | 34% ±22 | 32% ±15 | 11% ±10 | 58% ±16 | 35 | 12% ±6 | 34% ±22 | 48% ±40 | 57% ±69 | 5.9d | 2.02% | 1.73% | 102 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,912.17 (+0.3%) | 0.6 | 1.8% | 8h | 6.8d ago · 56× | 90% ±19 | 56% ±20 | 4% ±8 | 41% ±20 | 24 | 73% ±12 | 90% ±19 | 93% ±28 | 95% | 1h | 3.75% | 2.04% | 57 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 2,907.36–3,060.25 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 1.5% | 6h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 80% ±18 | 55% ±14 | 14% ±10 | 31% ±13 | 46 | 65% ±9 | 80% ±18 | 88% ±26 | 92% ±31 | 1h | 2.11% | 1.91% | 109 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,902.88 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 2,900.08 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 1.0% | 3h | 22.6d ago · 30× | 88% ±29 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 78% ±15 | 88% ±29 | 88% ±46 | 91% | 1h | 3.72% | 1.41% | 30 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,891 (-0.4%) | 0.7 | 0.7% | 2h | 2.5d ago · 59× | 67% ±21 | 41% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 50% ±18 | 31 | 46% ±9 | 67% ±21 | 72% ±36 | 77% ±48 | 6h | 2.21% | 2.60% | 115 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 2,902.88 | 2,947.56 | 2,857.36 | target | +0.81% |
| 30d | VAL | long | 2,902.88 | 3,027.49 | 2,852.9 | expired | +0.81% |