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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-27 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,434 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.27 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,256.83–3,307.79 (+11.2%) | 20 | 0.3% | 2h | 1.4d ago · 50× | 0% ±2 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 3% ±9 | 9% ±22 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 250 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,169.46 (+8.2%) | 14 | 1.1% | 5h | 20.9d ago · 44× | 2% ±3 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 11% ±11 | 31% ±26 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 508 → 12 | |
| HVN zone | 3,096.66–3,133.06 (+5.7%) | 10 | 1.7% | 11h | 9.1d ago · 82× | 8% ±9 | 54% ±14 | 16% ±10 | 30% ±13 | 47 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±9 | 23% ±23 | 47% ±44 | > 7d | 2.09% | 1.94% | 230 → 5 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAH | 3,027.49–3,035.59 (+3.4%) | 5.9 | 3.1% | 1.3d | 2.6d ago · 70× | 11% ±7 | 43% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 48% ±18 | 29 | 2% ±1 | 11% ±7 | 26% ±18 | 48% ±31 | > 7d | 1.95% | 1.85% | 417 → 10 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,990.02 (+2.1%) | 3.7 | 2.7% | 24h | 2.8d ago · 97× | 33% ±12 | 51% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 43% ±14 | 46 | 6% ±2 | 33% ±12 | 51% ±22 | 68% ±30 | 2.8d | 2.17% | 1.89% | 361 → 9 | |
| 7D POC | 2,929.78 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 3.1% | 1.1d | 2.6d ago · 104× | 94% ±10 | 52% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 42% ±14 | 49 | 82% ±7 | 94% ±10 | 96% ±15 | 97% ±19 | 1h | 2.28% | 1.59% | 132 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,928.93 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 2,928.52 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 3.1% | 1.2d | 2.5d ago · 85× | 89% ±15 | 42% ±14 | 15% ±10 | 44% ±14 | 45 | 75% ±8 | 90% ±14 | 94% ±18 | 95% ±29 | 1h | 2.00% | 1.85% | 104 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,909.7 (-0.7%) | 1.2 | 1.6% | 6h | 2.4d ago · 85× | 61% ±18 | 57% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 31% ±13 | 46 | 42% ±7 | 61% ±18 | 77% ±28 | 80% ±39 | 6h | 2.63% | 1.56% | 170 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,900.08 (-1.0%) | 1.7 | 1.0% | 3h | 22.5d ago · 30× | 58% ±26 | 50% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 24% ±9 | 57% ±26 | 66% ±42 | 74% ±60 | 17h | 3.45% | 1.27% | 83 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,890.14 (-1.3%) | 2.3 | 0.7% | 1h | 2.4d ago · 59× | 41% ±18 | 43% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 49% ±17 | 32 | 12% ±5 | 41% ±18 | 55% ±31 | 66% ±46 | 2.4d | 2.30% | 2.45% | 177 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 2,928.93 | 2,909.7 | 2,990.02 | expired | -0.30% |