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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-27 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,434 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.27 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,256.83–3,307.79 (+11.1%) | 23 | 0.3% | 2h | 1.4d ago · 50× | 0% ±2 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 3% ±9 | 8% ±22 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 238 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,169.46 (+8.1%) | 17 | 0.9% | 5h | 20.9d ago · 44× | 1% ±2 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±11 | 26% ±26 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 450 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 3,103.94–3,133.06 (+5.9%) | 12 | 1.7% | 14h | 9.1d ago · 82× | 6% ±9 | 54% ±14 | 16% ±10 | 30% ±13 | 47 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±9 | 19% ±24 | 45% ±49 | > 7d | 2.09% | 1.94% | 180 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,031.55 (+3.4%) | 7.0 | 2.5% | 1.2d | 2.8d ago · 70× | 8% ±6 | 48% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±6 | 25% ±17 | 45% ±29 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 459 → 11 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,988.11 (+2.0%) | 4.0 | 2.3% | 21h | 2.8d ago · 97× | 31% ±12 | 51% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 43% ±14 | 46 | 5% ±2 | 31% ±11 | 48% ±21 | 66% ±31 | 3.3d | 2.17% | 1.89% | 377 → 9 | |
| at post · 2,930.63 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,925.56–2,929.78 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.9% | 1.2d | 2.5d ago · 106× | 87% ±15 | 50% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 41% ±13 | 59 | 74% ±8 | 88% ±14 | 92% ±20 | 95% ±24 | 1h | 2.38% | 1.55% | 121 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,907.79 (-0.8%) | 1.6 | 1.3% | 4h | 2.4d ago · 85× | 53% ±17 | 57% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 31% ±13 | 46 | 28% ±6 | 54% ±17 | 72% ±27 | 77% ±37 | 18h | 2.63% | 1.56% | 196 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,900.08 (-1.0%) | 2.1 | 0.9% | 2h | 22.5d ago · 30× | 48% ±25 | 50% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 12% ±7 | 48% ±24 | 59% ±43 | 68% ±65 | 1.1d | 3.45% | 1.27% | 96 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,890.14 (-1.4%) | 2.8 | 0.6% | 1h | 2.4d ago · 59× | 35% ±16 | 43% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 49% ±17 | 32 | 8% ±4 | 36% ±16 | 53% ±28 | 66% ±41 | 2.7d | 2.30% | 2.45% | 211 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 2,930.63 | 2,988.11 | 2,907.79 | expired | +0.25% |