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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-27 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,433 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,256.83–3,307.79 (+11.2%) | 43 | 0.2% | 53m | 1.2d ago · 50× | 1% ±6 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±10 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 82 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,169.46 (+8.2%) | 32 | 0.5% | 2h | 20.7d ago · 44× | 1% ±3 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±9 | 11% ±28 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 196 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 3,103.94–3,133.06 (+6.0%) | 23 | 0.9% | 7h | 9.0d ago · 82× | 4% ±19 | 54% ±14 | 16% ±10 | 30% ±13 | 47 | 3% ±7 | 3% ±16 | 15% ±50 | 42% | > 7d | 2.09% | 1.94% | 27 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,027.51 (+3.4%) | 13 | 1.2% | 11h | 2.6d ago · 70× | 3% ±4 | 48% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 26 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 12% ±13 | 27% ±27 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 434 → 10 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,988.11 (+2.1%) | 7.9 | 1.1% | 10h | 2.7d ago · 97× | 6% ±6 | 51% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 43% ±14 | 46 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±6 | 22% ±17 | 37% ±30 | > 7d | 2.17% | 1.89% | 407 → 10 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,928.52–2,929.78 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 1.6% | 20h | 2.5d ago · 104× | 92% ±11 | 43% ±14 | 8% ±7 | 49% ±14 | 49 | 79% ±7 | 92% ±11 | 95% ±16 | 96% ±22 | 1h | 2.16% | 1.63% | 145 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,927.91 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 2,925.56 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 1.6% | 19h | 2.3d ago · 72× | 83% ±20 | 59% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 32% ±16 | 34 | 73% ±9 | 83% ±19 | 88% ±29 | 91% ±39 | 1h | 2.86% | 1.06% | 88 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,907.79 (-0.7%) | 2.6 | 0.7% | 2h | 2.2d ago · 85× | 42% ±15 | 57% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 31% ±13 | 46 | 14% ±4 | 41% ±15 | 61% ±25 | 72% ±36 | 1.5d | 2.63% | 1.56% | 250 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,900.08 (-1.0%) | 3.6 | 0.5% | 1h | 22.3d ago · 30× | 29% ±16 | 50% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 7% ±4 | 29% ±16 | 41% ±30 | 51% ±49 | 6.8d | 3.45% | 1.27% | 178 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,890.14 (-1.3%) | 5.0 | 0.3% | 33m | 2.2d ago · 59× | 23% ±11 | 43% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 49% ±17 | 32 | 3% ±2 | 23% ±11 | 46% ±23 | 74% ±30 | 3.8d | 2.30% | 2.45% | 317 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 2,927.91 | 2,890.14 | 3,027.51 | expired | -0.11% |