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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-29 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,433 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,256.83–3,307.79 (+11.2%) | 14 | 0.5% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 50× | 0% ±2 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 8% ±14 | 14% ±28 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 259 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,169.46 (+8.2%) | 11 | 1.5% | 7h | 20.7d ago · 44× | 3% ±4 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 14% ±13 | 36% ±28 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 481 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 3,096.66–3,133.06 (+5.7%) | 7.4 | 2.3% | 16h | 9.0d ago · 82× | 11% ±9 | 54% ±14 | 16% ±10 | 30% ±13 | 47 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±9 | 27% ±22 | 47% ±37 | > 7d | 2.09% | 1.94% | 296 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,006.25 (+2.6%) | 3.4 | 2.7% | 18h | 2.6d ago · 70× | 30% ±18 | 48% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 26 | 9% ±5 | 31% ±18 | 51% ±35 | 67% ±53 | 2.9d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 142 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,976.15 (+1.6%) | 2.1 | 3.9% | 1.7d | 2.7d ago · 97× | 48% ±17 | 51% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 43% ±14 | 46 | 17% ±5 | 48% ±17 | 69% ±26 | 85% ±31 | 1.1d | 2.17% | 1.89% | 212 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 2,940.13 (+0.4%) | 0.5 | 4.8% | 2.0d | 2.5d ago · 67× | 86% ±18 | 36% ±17 | 15% ±13 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 79% ±9 | 86% ±18 | 94% ±21 | 94% ±32 | 1h | 1.75% | 1.26% | 84 → 2 | |
| at post · 2,929.56 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,927.85–2,928.66 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 5.0% | 2.3d | 2.3d ago · 106× | 89% ±13 | 48% ±13 | 10% ±7 | 42% ±12 | 61 | 75% ±8 | 90% ±13 | 95% ±17 | 97% ±20 | 1h | 2.22% | 1.41% | 122 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,900.08–2,907.24 (-0.8%) | 1.0 | 2.0% | 7h | 2.2d ago · 85× | 62% ±18 | 52% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 38% ±14 | 47 | 40% ±7 | 62% ±18 | 73% ±29 | 77% ±41 | 9h | 2.67% | 1.75% | 169 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | short | 2,929.56 | 2,900.08 | 3,169.46 | expired | -1.72% |