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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-29 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,434 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.27 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,256.83–3,307.79 (+11.2%) | 12 | 0.6% | 4h | 1.4d ago · 50× | 0% ±2 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 11% ±17 | 19% ±31 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 234 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,169.46 (+8.2%) | 8.9 | 1.7% | 9h | 20.9d ago · 44× | 3% ±4 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 16% ±14 | 36% ±28 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 455 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 3,096.66–3,133.06 (+5.7%) | 6.2 | 2.8% | 19h | 9.2d ago · 82× | 13% ±9 | 54% ±14 | 16% ±10 | 30% ±13 | 47 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±9 | 30% ±22 | 52% ±37 | 6.8d | 2.09% | 1.94% | 310 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,995.63 (+2.3%) | 2.5 | 3.2% | 23h | 2.8d ago · 70× | 52% ±24 | 48% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 26 | 22% ±8 | 52% ±24 | 67% ±41 | 73% ±62 | 22h | 1.98% | 2.49% | 97 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,973.07 (+1.5%) | 1.7 | 4.6% | 1.9d | 2.9d ago · 97× | 47% ±18 | 51% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 43% ±14 | 46 | 25% ±6 | 47% ±17 | 71% ±27 | 86% ±31 | 1.1d | 2.17% | 1.89% | 191 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,930.06–2,940.13 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 6.4% | 2.8d | 2.7d ago · 79× | 90% ±15 | 33% ±15 | 14% ±11 | 53% ±16 | 37 | 81% ±8 | 90% ±15 | 95% ±19 | 95% ±30 | 1h | 1.89% | 1.48% | 88 → 2 | |
| at post · 2,928.38 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 7D VAL · 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,900.08–2,928.22 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 6.4% | 2.7d | 2.4d ago · 106× | 76% ±18 | 52% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 40% ±12 | 61 | 58% ±9 | 76% ±18 | 82% ±29 | 85% ±40 | 4h | 2.56% | 1.56% | 129 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 2,928.38 | 2,904.13 | 2,995.63 | stop | -0.99% |