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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-30 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,434 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.27 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,256.83–3,307.79 (+9.4%) | 12 | 0.5% | 3h | 1.4d ago · 50× | 0% ±2 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 11% ±17 | 21% ±32 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 238 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,169.46 (+6.5%) | 8.1 | 1.5% | 8h | 20.9d ago · 44× | 4% ±4 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±4 | 18% ±15 | 37% ±30 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 434 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 3,096.66–3,133.06 (+4.0%) | 5.1 | 2.4% | 17h | 9.2d ago · 82× | 15% ±10 | 54% ±14 | 16% ±10 | 30% ±13 | 47 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±10 | 34% ±23 | 54% ±37 | 6.5d | 2.09% | 1.94% | 313 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,995.63 (+0.6%) | 0.8 | 2.6% | 15h | 2.9d ago · 70× | 81% ±20 | 47% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 50% ±19 | 27 | 66% ±10 | 81% ±20 | 83% ±33 | 84% ±51 | 2h | 2.15% | 2.17% | 92 → 2 | |
| at post · 2,976.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 2,967.99 (-0.3%) | 0.4 | 4.2% | 1.5d | 2.9d ago · 65× | 90% ±20 | 43% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 53% ±19 | 27 | 77% ±12 | 90% ±20 | 90% ±33 | 90% | 1h | 2.32% | 1.97% | 50 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,928.22–2,940.13 (-1.2%) | 1.5 | 5.6% | 2.4d | 2.5d ago · 106× | 58% ±20 | 52% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 39% ±12 | 61 | 32% ±8 | 58% ±20 | 76% ±30 | 90% ±33 | 13h | 2.38% | 1.32% | 145 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,900.08–2,915.52 (-2.1%) | 2.6 | 3.4% | 17h | 2.4d ago · 85× | 36% ±15 | 52% ±14 | 10% ±9 | 38% ±14 | 47 | 10% ±4 | 37% ±15 | 54% ±26 | 65% ±38 | 3.3d | 2.67% | 1.75% | 250 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 2,976.7 | 3,029.17 | 2,928.22 | expired | -0.29% |