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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-04 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,433 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,257.64–3,304.76 (+3.2%) | 7.3 | 0.3% | 2h | 1.3d ago · 50× | 14% ±13 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 14% ±13 | 30% ±30 | 43% ±49 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 160 → 4 | |
| at post · 3,155.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 3,089.35–3,136.47 (-0.6%) | 1.4 | 1.5% | 9h | 4.0d ago · 84× | 69% ±17 | 45% ±13 | 22% ±11 | 33% ±12 | 57 | 36% ±7 | 69% ±17 | 83% ±23 | 93% ±26 | 9h | 2.42% | 1.62% | 172 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,129.74 (-0.8%) | 1.9 | 1.8% | 13h | 6.6d ago · 38× | 69% ±41 | 38% ±30 | 8% ±17 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 31% ±17 | 69% ±41 | 83% ±52 | 86% | 14h | 2.13% | 1.79% | 27 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,039.86 (-3.7%) | 8.3 | 1.9% | 17h | 2.7d ago · 65× | 5% ±11 | 44% ±17 | 6% ±8 | 50% ±18 | 31 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±11 | 30% ±40 | 41% ±68 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.94% | 94 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,012.41 (-4.5%) | 10 | 1.5% | 7h | 13.2d ago · 55× | 5% ±10 | 63% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 33% ±18 | 27 | 2% ±2 | 5% ±10 | 18% ±31 | 47% ±56 | > 7d | 2.92% | 1.89% | 110 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 2,979.37 (-5.6%) | 13 | 3.5% | 1.8d | 2.3d ago · 106× | 2% ±6 | 55% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 41% ±12 | 63 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 12% ±21 | 38% ±48 | > 7d | 2.39% | 1.22% | 161 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 2,930.03–2,931.16 (-7.1%) | 16 | 3.8% | 1.6d | 2.3d ago · 85× | 2% ±5 | 52% ±14 | 13% ±9 | 36% ±13 | 50 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 5% ±13 | 20% ±35 | > 7d | 2.43% | 1.33% | 202 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,916.3 (-7.6%) | 17 | 2.2% | 10h | 2.3d ago · 85× | 2% ±5 | 59% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 29% ±13 | 48 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 11% ±16 | 26% ±35 | > 7d | 2.63% | 1.46% | 248 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,907.6–2,909.09 (-7.8%) | 18 | 1.4% | 5h | 2.3d ago · 59× | 2% ±4 | 46% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 46% ±17 | 32 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 9% ±12 | 24% ±26 | > 7d | 2.73% | 2.01% | 400 → 10 | |
| LVN zone | 2,860.48–2,880.67 (-8.7%) | 20 | 0.3% | 23m | 1.5d ago · 47× | 1% ±4 | 56% ±20 | 15% ±14 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 6% ±18 | 13% ±38 | > 7d | 3.01% | 1.93% | 121 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | long | 3,155.9 | 3,378.04 | 2,931.16 | expired | +0.36% |