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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-08 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,434 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.27 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,284.56–3,291.3 (+4.2%) | 5.0 | 0.7% | 3h | 1.4d ago · 50× | 32% ±20 | 48% ±21 | 16% ±15 | 36% ±20 | 22 | 5% ±4 | 32% ±20 | 54% ±37 | 75% ±49 | 2.7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 123 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,264.65 (+3.5%) | 4.2 | 1.2% | 6h | 2.9d ago · 97× | 30% ±11 | 47% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 50 | 4% ±2 | 30% ±11 | 47% ±20 | 66% ±29 | 3.6d | 1.94% | 1.89% | 407 → 10 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,176.86 (+0.8%) | 0.9 | 2.1% | 9h | 20.9d ago · 44× | 83% ±25 | 37% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 57% ±13 | 84% ±23 | 87% ±38 | 92% | 2h | 2.07% | 1.86% | 59 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,157.12 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.6% | 15h | 2.8d ago · 70× | 88% ±19 | 48% ±18 | 3% ±6 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 73% ±10 | 88% ±19 | 89% ±31 | 90% ±41 | 1h | 1.82% | 2.03% | 71 → 2 | |
| at post · 3,153.02 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 3,142.93 (-0.3%) | 0.4 | 2.8% | 23h | 2.5d ago · 106× | 85% ±14 | 55% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 41% ±12 | 63 | 71% ±7 | 85% ±14 | 90% ±20 | 95% ±21 | 1h | 2.39% | 1.22% | 156 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,104.58 (-1.5%) | 1.8 | 2.4% | 1.2d | 2.4d ago · 85× | 48% ±17 | 59% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 29% ±13 | 48 | 22% ±6 | 48% ±17 | 68% ±26 | 74% ±38 | 1.1d | 2.63% | 1.46% | 210 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 2,907.6–3,008.57 (-4.6%) | 5.5 | 2.2% | 11h | 4.2d ago · 84× | 30% ±16 | 47% ±13 | 21% ±10 | 32% ±12 | 59 | 6% ±3 | 32% ±16 | 55% ±29 | 64% ±42 | 2.3d | 2.66% | 1.54% | 192 → 5 | |
| 14D POC | 2,978.99 (-5.5%) | 6.6 | 6.4% | 3.2d | 2.5d ago · 85× | 16% ±12 | 43% ±14 | 17% ±10 | 40% ±14 | 50 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±11 | 35% ±26 | 62% ±39 | 5.4d | 2.12% | 1.56% | 240 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 2,931.16 (-7.0%) | 8.4 | 7.0% | 2.9d | 2.5d ago · 72× | 10% ±10 | 63% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±10 | 29% ±25 | 60% ±43 | 5.6d | 2.85% | 1.03% | 225 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,888.88–2,900.87 (-8.0%) | 9.5 | 1.6% | 4h | 2.4d ago · 59× | 5% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 46% ±17 | 32 | 0% ±1 | 5% ±5 | 22% ±16 | 46% ±29 | 6.4d | 2.73% | 2.01% | 453 → 11 | |
| LVN zone | 2,847.02–2,880.67 (-8.6%) | 10 | 0.6% | 51m | 1.3d ago · 47× | 2% ±4 | 56% ±20 | 15% ±14 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 7% ±13 | 20% ±30 | > 7d | 3.01% | 1.93% | 273 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 3,153.02 | 3,264.65 | 3,104.58 | stop | -1.20% |