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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-08 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,433 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,284.56–3,298.03 (+5.2%) | 5.6 | 0.7% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 50× | 26% ±18 | 48% ±21 | 16% ±15 | 36% ±20 | 22 | 3% ±3 | 25% ±17 | 49% ±35 | 65% ±54 | 3.3d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 143 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,242.41 (+3.9%) | 4.2 | 2.2% | 17h | 2.7d ago · 97× | 29% ±11 | 47% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 50 | 4% ±2 | 29% ±11 | 47% ±20 | 67% ±29 | 3.5d | 1.94% | 1.89% | 411 → 10 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 3,145.66–3,170.13 (+0.8%) | 0.9 | 3.0% | 24h | 2.5d ago · 104× | 78% ±14 | 48% ±14 | 7% ±7 | 46% ±14 | 50 | 53% ±7 | 78% ±14 | 85% ±21 | 91% ±25 | 6h | 2.08% | 1.76% | 199 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 3,129.74–3,156.67 (+0.3%) | 0.3 | 2.6% | 1.0d | 9.0d ago · 82× | 81% ±18 | 55% ±14 | 15% ±10 | 30% ±13 | 50 | 65% ±9 | 81% ±18 | 89% ±25 | 92% ±30 | 1h | 2.07% | 1.91% | 115 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,120.82 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,084.99 (-1.1%) | 1.2 | 3.0% | 22h | 2.2d ago · 85× | 60% ±17 | 59% ±14 | 12% ±9 | 29% ±13 | 48 | 39% ±7 | 61% ±17 | 78% ±25 | 81% ±35 | 8h | 2.63% | 1.46% | 191 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 2,907.6–3,008.57 (-3.6%) | 3.9 | 2.4% | 12h | 4.0d ago · 84× | 42% ±17 | 46% ±13 | 21% ±10 | 33% ±12 | 60 | 9% ±4 | 42% ±16 | 71% ±26 | 83% ±33 | 1.3d | 2.54% | 1.58% | 207 → 5 | |
| 14D POC | 2,978.99 (-4.5%) | 4.9 | 7.0% | 3.5d | 2.3d ago · 85× | 25% ±14 | 43% ±14 | 17% ±10 | 40% ±14 | 50 | 4% ±3 | 25% ±14 | 44% ±27 | 67% ±41 | 4.1d | 2.12% | 1.56% | 226 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 2,931.16 (-6.1%) | 6.5 | 7.7% | 3.2d | 2.3d ago · 72× | 20% ±14 | 63% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 4% ±3 | 19% ±14 | 43% ±29 | 75% ±38 | 4.1d | 2.85% | 1.03% | 196 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,900.87–2,905.64 (-6.9%) | 7.4 | 2.3% | 7h | 2.2d ago · 59× | 7% ±6 | 46% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 46% ±17 | 32 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±6 | 28% ±18 | 52% ±31 | 5.1d | 2.73% | 2.01% | 435 → 10 | |
| LVN zone | 2,853.75–2,880.67 (-7.7%) | 8.3 | 0.7% | 59m | 1.5d ago · 47× | 4% ±6 | 56% ±20 | 15% ±14 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 9% ±15 | 23% ±34 | > 7d | 3.01% | 1.93% | 268 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 3,120.82 | 3,145.66 | 3,056.65 | target | +0.36% |