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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-09 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,434 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.27 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 3,215.99 (+4.7%) | 5.3 | 2.1% | 13h | 2.8d ago · 97× | 24% ±10 | 47% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 50 | 3% ±2 | 24% ±10 | 39% ±20 | 58% ±31 | 4.4d | 1.94% | 1.89% | 434 → 10 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 3,143.16–3,156.22 (+2.3%) | 2.6 | 3.0% | 1.0d | 2.6d ago · 104× | 41% ±18 | 48% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 45% ±14 | 51 | 11% ±5 | 41% ±18 | 57% ±31 | 70% ±45 | 2.2d | 2.12% | 1.70% | 173 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 3,076.79–3,130.41 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 3.0% | 15h | 9.1d ago · 82× | 85% ±17 | 54% ±14 | 17% ±10 | 30% ±13 | 51 | 74% ±9 | 85% ±17 | 91% ±23 | 94% ±32 | 1h | 2.06% | 1.88% | 101 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,075.43 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.9% | 13h | 6.6d ago · 56× | 92% ±19 | 54% ±20 | 4% ±7 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 80% ±11 | 92% ±19 | 92% ±31 | 94% | 1h | 3.74% | 2.33% | 48 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,072.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,909.99–2,999.35 (-2.4%) | 2.7 | 2.9% | 17h | 4.1d ago · 84× | 50% ±17 | 46% ±13 | 21% ±10 | 33% ±12 | 60 | 13% ±5 | 49% ±17 | 75% ±26 | 88% ±28 | 1.1d | 2.54% | 1.58% | 204 → 5 | |
| 14D POC | 2,978.48 (-3.1%) | 3.5 | 6.7% | 3.3d | 2.4d ago · 85× | 36% ±17 | 43% ±14 | 17% ±10 | 40% ±14 | 50 | 9% ±4 | 36% ±17 | 55% ±31 | 72% ±44 | 2.0d | 2.12% | 1.56% | 182 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 2,930.84 (-4.6%) | 5.2 | 7.3% | 3.0d | 2.4d ago · 72× | 26% ±15 | 63% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 4% ±3 | 26% ±14 | 49% ±28 | 78% ±36 | 3.1d | 2.85% | 1.03% | 210 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,904.03–2,916.57 (-5.1%) | 5.8 | 4.4% | 23h | 2.3d ago · 59× | 12% ±8 | 46% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 46% ±17 | 32 | 2% ±1 | 12% ±8 | 32% ±20 | 55% ±32 | 4.4d | 2.73% | 2.01% | 394 → 9 | |
| LVN zone | 2,856.37–2,880.2 (-6.3%) | 7.1 | 0.6% | 53m | 1.3d ago · 47× | 8% ±8 | 56% ±20 | 15% ±14 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 0% ±1 | 8% ±8 | 14% ±18 | 27% ±36 | > 7d | 3.01% | 1.93% | 247 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 3,072.3 | 2,931.74 | 3,143.16 | expired | -0.53% |