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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-12 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,432 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0034), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.21 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3,245.52 (+4.7%) | 5.5 | 1.1% | 6h | 2.4d ago · 70× | 13% ±9 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±6 | 46% ±17 | 32 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±9 | 34% ±21 | 54% ±33 | 6.5d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 362 → 9 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,198.1 (+3.1%) | 3.7 | 1.0% | 4h | 2.5d ago · 97× | 32% ±11 | 47% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 50 | 5% ±2 | 32% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 70% ±30 | 3.0d | 1.94% | 1.89% | 386 → 9 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D VAH | 3,110.79–3,126.09 (+0.3%) | 0.4 | 4.9% | 2.0d | 2.3d ago · 104× | 87% ±12 | 42% ±13 | 9% ±8 | 49% ±13 | 53 | 69% ±7 | 87% ±12 | 92% ±17 | 95% ±22 | 1h | 2.15% | 1.58% | 183 → 4 | |
| at post · 3,101.11 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 3,057.54–3,061.97 (-1.3%) | 1.5 | 1.9% | 6h | 2.0d ago · 85× | 54% ±16 | 53% ±14 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 51 | 27% ±6 | 54% ±16 | 67% ±25 | 73% ±39 | 17h | 2.44% | 1.83% | 225 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 2,912.08–2,997.68 (-3.3%) | 3.9 | 3.3% | 19h | 3.8d ago · 84× | 39% ±16 | 47% ±13 | 20% ±10 | 33% ±12 | 61 | 8% ±4 | 39% ±16 | 66% ±27 | 78% ±36 | 1.4d | 2.42% | 1.62% | 219 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 2,930.8 (-5.5%) | 6.5 | 7.5% | 2.9d | 2.1d ago · 72× | 18% ±13 | 63% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 3% ±2 | 18% ±13 | 39% ±28 | 72% ±39 | 4.4d | 2.85% | 1.03% | 212 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,901.38 (-6.4%) | 7.6 | 1.8% | 4h | 22.1d ago · 30× | 4% ±5 | 50% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 20% ±17 | 40% ±32 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.27% | 377 → 9 | |
| LVN zone | 2,842.52–2,885.33 (-7.0%) | 8.2 | 0.8% | 1h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 4% ±6 | 56% ±20 | 15% ±14 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 10% ±14 | 23% ±31 | > 7d | 3.01% | 1.93% | 281 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 3,101.11 | 3,057.54 | 3,198.1 | stop | -3.28% |
| 14d | POC | short | 3,101.11 | 3,061.97 | 3,245.52 | expired | -3.28% |