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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-13 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3,215.7 (+0.4%) | 0.6 | 1.3% | 9h | 3.3d ago · 70× | 80% ±19 | 53% ±17 | 3% ±6 | 44% ±17 | 33 | 64% ±9 | 80% ±18 | 85% ±29 | 88% ±37 | 2h | 2.15% | 1.39% | 105 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,202.76 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 3,164.57 (-1.2%) | 1.8 | 2.0% | 11h | 3.3d ago · 65× | 70% ±25 | 43% ±17 | 6% ±8 | 51% ±17 | 32 | 34% ±11 | 70% ±25 | 82% ±37 | 85% ±50 | 12h | 1.94% | 1.95% | 77 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,099.34–3,147.49 (-1.7%) | 2.6 | 2.9% | 20h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 49% ±17 | 47% ±13 | 20% ±10 | 33% ±12 | 61 | 14% ±5 | 49% ±17 | 74% ±25 | 87% ±30 | 1.1d | 2.42% | 1.62% | 207 → 5 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,131.44 (-2.2%) | 3.3 | 3.5% | 1.1d | 7.2d ago · 38× | 34% ±29 | 39% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 6% ±6 | 34% ±29 | 72% ±51 | 79% | 1.5d | 2.25% | 1.62% | 60 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 3,110.98–3,113.49 (-2.8%) | 4.2 | 3.8% | 1.4d | 2.9d ago · 106× | 30% ±14 | 50% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 41% ±12 | 66 | 6% ±3 | 30% ±14 | 48% ±26 | 70% ±37 | 3.6d | 2.21% | 1.38% | 248 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,079.84 (-3.8%) | 5.8 | 1.9% | 14h | 2.9d ago · 85× | 20% ±9 | 60% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 29% ±12 | 52 | 3% ±2 | 20% ±9 | 42% ±19 | 64% ±28 | 4.4d | 2.57% | 1.42% | 463 → 11 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,063.05 (-4.4%) | 6.5 | 1.4% | 4h | 2.9d ago · 59× | 13% ±8 | 44% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 47% ±17 | 33 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±8 | 36% ±19 | 64% ±30 | 4.7d | 2.39% | 2.29% | 437 → 10 | |
| 30D POC | 2,930.8 (-8.5%) | 13 | 6.1% | 2.4d | 2.9d ago · 72× | 3% ±5 | 63% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 9% ±16 | 27% ±35 | > 7d | 2.85% | 1.03% | 242 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,901.38 (-9.4%) | 14 | 1.4% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 31× | 2% ±3 | 50% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 11% ±12 | 28% ±25 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.27% | 507 → 12 | |
| LVN zone | 2,842.52–2,885.33 (-9.9%) | 15 | 0.6% | 49m | 1.3d ago · 47× | 0% ±2 | 56% ±20 | 15% ±14 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 3% ±9 | 9% ±23 | > 7d | 3.01% | 1.93% | 239 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 3,202.76 | 3,110.98 | 3,243.18 | stop | -5.59% |