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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-16 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,432 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0034), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.21 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 3,317.03 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 1.5% | 9h | 2.5d ago · 97× | 84% ±18 | 46% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 48% ±14 | 51 | 72% ±9 | 84% ±18 | 91% ±25 | 92% ±38 | 1h | 1.94% | 1.94% | 98 → 2 | |
| at post · 3,315.32 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 3,252.38–3,277.61 (-1.1%) | 1.3 | 1.2% | 5h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 63% ±23 | 57% ±19 | 14% ±14 | 29% ±18 | 25 | 39% ±9 | 66% ±22 | 70% ±37 | 75% ±49 | 8h | 2.83% | 1.82% | 106 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,259.19 (-1.7%) | 1.9 | 1.2% | 7h | 12.9d ago · 55× | 66% ±27 | 61% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 35% ±18 | 28 | 29% ±10 | 65% ±26 | 78% ±41 | 78% ±58 | 13h | 2.59% | 1.90% | 75 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,170.37 (-4.4%) | 4.9 | 2.3% | 12h | 6.3d ago · 38× | 20% ±22 | 39% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 2% ±3 | 19% ±21 | 51% ±44 | 63% ±67 | 3.0d | 2.25% | 1.62% | 85 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,088.37–3,157.76 (-4.8%) | 5.3 | 3.1% | 18h | 3.8d ago · 84× | 27% ±14 | 47% ±13 | 20% ±10 | 33% ±12 | 61 | 5% ±3 | 27% ±14 | 49% ±27 | 59% ±39 | 3.5d | 2.42% | 1.62% | 234 → 6 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 3,112.53–3,114.04 (-6.1%) | 6.8 | 4.8% | 1.8d | 2.1d ago · 106× | 16% ±11 | 50% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 41% ±12 | 66 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±10 | 32% ±24 | 57% ±37 | 5.4d | 2.21% | 1.38% | 273 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 3,056.79–3,065.03 (-7.5%) | 8.5 | 1.5% | 4h | 2.0d ago · 85× | 9% ±6 | 54% ±14 | 10% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±6 | 28% ±17 | 53% ±28 | 6.1d | 2.50% | 1.76% | 486 → 12 | |
| 30D POC | 2,977.98 (-10.2%) | 11 | 7.3% | 3.5d | 2.1d ago · 72× | 4% ±6 | 63% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 14% ±18 | 33% ±35 | > 7d | 2.85% | 1.03% | 274 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,899.13 (-12.6%) | 14 | 1.5% | 3h | 22.1d ago · 30× | 2% ±3 | 50% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 11% ±11 | 28% ±25 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.27% | 520 → 12 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 3,315.32 | 3,114.04 | 3,363.87 | expired | +0.72% |