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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-17 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,432 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0034), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.21 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 3,403.77 (+2.6%) | 9.7 | <0.1% | 3m | 2.5d ago · 97× | 4% ±5 | 47% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 52 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 18% ±16 | 36% ±31 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.89% | 397 → 9 | |
| at post · 3,315.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 3,299.33 (-0.5%) | 1.8 | 0.9% | 7h | 2.1d ago · 106× | 57% ±18 | 54% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 42% ±12 | 66 | 26% ±6 | 57% ±18 | 71% ±28 | 85% ±35 | 17h | 2.38% | 1.24% | 181 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,284.31 (-1.0%) | 3.5 | 0.7% | 5h | 13.0d ago · 55× | 40% ±23 | 63% ±18 | 3% ±6 | 34% ±17 | 29 | 9% ±6 | 40% ±23 | 62% ±39 | 71% ±51 | 1.5d | 2.27% | 1.89% | 106 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,172.75 (-4.3%) | 16 | 0.7% | 3h | 6.4d ago · 38× | 1% ±4 | 39% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 4% ±15 | 6% ±27 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.62% | 118 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 3,085.33–3,160.26 (-4.7%) | 17 | 1.0% | 6h | 3.8d ago · 84× | 3% ±6 | 47% ±13 | 20% ±10 | 33% ±12 | 61 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 8% ±15 | 10% ±26 | > 7d | 2.42% | 1.62% | 211 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,150.38 (-5.0%) | 18 | 1.0% | 6h | 2.1d ago · 85× | 2% ±4 | 60% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 29% ±12 | 52 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 7% ±13 | 21% ±33 | > 7d | 2.57% | 1.42% | 250 → 6 | |
| 14D POC | 3,131.48 (-5.6%) | 20 | 1.6% | 11h | 2.1d ago · 85× | 1% ±3 | 44% ±14 | 17% ±10 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 15% ±35 | > 7d | 2.00% | 1.57% | 177 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,077.02 (-7.2%) | 27 | 0.6% | 3h | 2.1d ago · 59× | 0% ±2 | 44% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 47% ±17 | 33 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 0% ±4 | 17% ±33 | > 7d | 2.39% | 2.29% | 205 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 2,976.06 (-10.2%) | 38 | 2.3% | 1.2d | 2.1d ago · 72× | 1% ±4 | 63% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | 2.85% | 1.03% | 118 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,904.26 (-12.4%) | 46 | 0.4% | 1h | 22.2d ago · 30× | 1% ±3 | 50% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.27% | 141 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.