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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-18 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,432 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0034), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.21 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 3,403.77 (+2.7%) | 8.4 | <0.1% | 4m | 2.5d ago · 97× | 6% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 52 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±6 | 22% ±17 | 40% ±30 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.89% | 432 → 10 | |
| at post · 3,313.92 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 3,306.18 (-0.2%) | 0.7 | 1.2% | 10h | 2.1d ago · 106× | 82% ±13 | 54% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 42% ±12 | 66 | 66% ±7 | 83% ±13 | 89% ±18 | 95% ±19 | 2h | 2.38% | 1.24% | 196 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,291.34 (-0.7%) | 2.1 | 1.1% | 11h | 12.9d ago · 55× | 60% ±26 | 63% ±18 | 3% ±6 | 34% ±17 | 29 | 20% ±8 | 59% ±25 | 75% ±38 | 80% ±55 | 17h | 2.27% | 1.89% | 88 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 3,233.15–3,274.52 (-1.2%) | 3.7 | 0.6% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 29% ±17 | 55% ±19 | 17% ±15 | 28% ±17 | 26 | 5% ±3 | 29% ±17 | 40% ±32 | 42% ±48 | > 7d | 2.77% | 1.80% | 163 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,171.11 (-4.3%) | 13 | 0.9% | 4h | 6.3d ago · 38× | 1% ±4 | 39% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 5% ±14 | 6% ±27 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.62% | 135 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,157.23 (-4.7%) | 15 | 1.3% | 7h | 2.0d ago · 85× | 3% ±4 | 60% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 29% ±12 | 52 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 11% ±14 | 28% ±31 | > 7d | 2.57% | 1.42% | 344 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 3,088.39–3,145.26 (-5.1%) | 16 | 1.6% | 10h | 3.8d ago · 84× | 3% ±5 | 47% ±13 | 20% ±10 | 33% ±12 | 61 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 8% ±15 | 11% ±25 | > 7d | 2.42% | 1.62% | 231 → 6 | |
| 14D POC | 3,131.48 (-5.5%) | 17 | 1.8% | 13h | 2.1d ago · 85× | 0% ±2 | 44% ±14 | 17% ±10 | 39% ±13 | 51 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 2% ±8 | 19% ±35 | > 7d | 2.00% | 1.57% | 225 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,077.02 (-7.1%) | 22 | 0.7% | 3h | 2.0d ago · 59× | 1% ±3 | 44% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 47% ±17 | 33 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 17% ±28 | > 7d | 2.39% | 2.29% | 285 → 7 | |
| 30D POC | 2,977.23 (-10.2%) | 32 | 2.7% | 1.4d | 2.1d ago · 72× | 1% ±3 | 63% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 2% ±14 | > 7d | 2.85% | 1.03% | 150 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,907.43 (-12.3%) | 38 | 0.6% | 2h | 22.1d ago · 30× | 1% ±3 | 50% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±6 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.27% | 190 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 3,313.92 | 3,403.77 | 3,157.23 | expired | -3.07% |