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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-22 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,432 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0034), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.21 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 3,383.07 (+12.0%) | 8.4 | 0.8% | 3h | 2.5d ago · 97× | 6% ±5 | 47% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 52 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 21% ±16 | 40% ±29 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.89% | 446 → 11 | |
| 7D POC | 3,307.85 (+9.5%) | 6.7 | 4.3% | 1.8d | 2.3d ago · 104× | 10% ±10 | 50% ±13 | 7% ±7 | 43% ±13 | 55 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±10 | 25% ±24 | 50% ±44 | 6.2d | 2.28% | 1.45% | 209 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,279.69 (+8.5%) | 6.0 | 3.1% | 20h | 2.5d ago · 70× | 12% ±8 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±8 | 33% ±19 | 52% ±31 | 6.7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 419 → 10 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,193.37 (+5.7%) | 4.0 | 3.7% | 18h | 20.6d ago · 44× | 28% ±17 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 3% ±3 | 28% ±16 | 48% ±31 | 65% ±47 | 3.6d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 172 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 3,109.75 (+2.9%) | 2.1 | 7.7% | 2.8d | 2.3d ago · 79× | 53% ±26 | 30% ±14 | 12% ±10 | 58% ±15 | 40 | 21% ±9 | 53% ±25 | 67% ±41 | 75% ±60 | 20h | 1.98% | 1.70% | 88 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,085.48–3,150.21 (+2.1%) | 1.5 | 5.2% | 2.1d | 8.8d ago · 82× | 61% ±16 | 53% ±14 | 18% ±10 | 29% ±12 | 52 | 29% ±6 | 61% ±16 | 73% ±25 | 76% ±38 | 13h | 2.01% | 1.87% | 208 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 3,053.11–3,069.29 (+1.0%) | 0.7 | 2.2% | 7h | 12.0d ago · 49× | 66% ±27 | 50% ±20 | 15% ±15 | 35% ±19 | 23 | 46% ±11 | 67% ±27 | 79% ±40 | 94% ±33 | 6h | 3.58% | 1.21% | 74 → 2 | |
| at post · 3,021.84 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,009.55 (-0.4%) | 0.3 | 3.4% | 16h | 2.1d ago · 85× | 80% ±17 | 61% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 29% ±12 | 53 | 63% ±8 | 80% ±17 | 88% ±24 | 90% ±34 | 2h | 2.52% | 1.39% | 125 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 2,918.24–2,988.37 (-1.1%) | 0.8 | 6.1% | 2.0d | 3.8d ago · 84× | 85% ±13 | 46% ±12 | 20% ±10 | 34% ±12 | 62 | 62% ±7 | 85% ±12 | 89% ±18 | 95% ±19 | 2h | 2.25% | 1.63% | 190 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 2,926.33 (-3.2%) | 2.2 | 7.8% | 3.0d | 2.1d ago · 72× | 54% ±24 | 61% ±16 | 7% ±8 | 32% ±15 | 38 | 23% ±8 | 55% ±23 | 72% ±36 | 83% ±42 | 19h | 2.86% | 1.05% | 107 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,902.05 (-4.0%) | 2.8 | 2.1% | 7h | 22.2d ago · 30× | 34% ±18 | 52% ±22 | 9% ±12 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 10% ±5 | 35% ±18 | 45% ±32 | 51% ±49 | 6.8d | 3.72% | 1.41% | 160 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,880.47 (-4.7%) | 3.3 | 0.4% | 46m | 2.1d ago · 59× | 31% ±14 | 43% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 49% ±17 | 34 | 7% ±3 | 31% ±14 | 46% ±26 | 59% ±39 | 4.7d | 2.30% | 2.45% | 258 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 3,021.84 | 3,307.85 | 2,942.31 | stop | -1.51% |