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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-23 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3,392.98 (+15.5%) | 17 | 0.2% | 36m | 3.1d ago · 70× | 2% ±3 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 11% ±14 | 22% ±29 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 347 → 8 | |
| 14D POC | 3,314.76 (+12.8%) | 14 | 2.5% | 1.1d | 2.9d ago · 79× | 4% ±7 | 30% ±14 | 12% ±10 | 58% ±15 | 40 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 6% ±15 | 21% ±40 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.70% | 176 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,193.37 (+8.7%) | 9.4 | 2.4% | 11h | 21.2d ago · 44× | 3% ±4 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 17% ±14 | 38% ±27 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 498 → 12 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,136.28 (+6.7%) | 7.3 | 4.2% | 1.3d | 3.1d ago · 97× | 10% ±7 | 47% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 52 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±7 | 25% ±17 | 43% ±29 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.89% | 472 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 3,090.87–3,150.21 (+5.2%) | 5.6 | 4.0% | 1.8d | 9.4d ago · 82× | 15% ±9 | 52% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 30% ±12 | 53 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±9 | 32% ±21 | 54% ±35 | 6.3d | 1.96% | 1.88% | 341 → 8 | |
| LVN zone | 3,053.11–3,069.29 (+3.9%) | 4.2 | 1.4% | 5h | 1.7d ago · 50× | 34% ±19 | 52% ±20 | 15% ±14 | 33% ±19 | 24 | 6% ±4 | 33% ±19 | 53% ±35 | 81% ±44 | 2.8d | 4.05% | 1.24% | 142 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,020.74 (+2.8%) | 3.0 | 2.0% | 12h | 22.7d ago · 46× | 47% ±26 | 39% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 54% ±20 | 25 | 9% ±6 | 47% ±26 | 70% ±40 | 79% ±56 | 1.2d | 3.10% | 2.63% | 86 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 2,974.88 (+1.2%) | 1.3 | 5.1% | 2.0d | 2.9d ago · 67× | 68% ±24 | 35% ±16 | 14% ±11 | 51% ±17 | 34 | 50% ±10 | 68% ±24 | 88% ±29 | 93% ±36 | 4h | 1.75% | 1.37% | 88 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 2,942.36 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.9% | 2.1d | 2.9d ago · 104× | 94% ±9 | 50% ±13 | 7% ±7 | 43% ±13 | 55 | 81% ±6 | 94% ±9 | 96% ±13 | 97% ±16 | 1h | 2.28% | 1.45% | 152 → 4 | |
| at post · 2,938.87 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 2,902.05 (-1.3%) | 1.4 | 1.2% | 4h | 1.2d ago · 31× | 64% ±25 | 54% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 38% ±21 | 21 | 31% ±10 | 65% ±24 | 70% ±40 | 74% ±61 | 12h | 3.45% | 1.27% | 89 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,864.29 (-2.5%) | 2.8 | <0.1% | 8m | 2.7d ago · 85× | 39% ±13 | 60% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 30% ±12 | 54 | 12% ±4 | 38% ±13 | 59% ±23 | 69% ±34 | 1.6d | 2.52% | 1.42% | 302 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 2,938.87 | 2,864.29 | 3,136.28 | expired | -0.55% |